NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	83		Excitement	7.6 [258]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +26.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	92		Comeback	14.7 [95]		LVP	Evan Turner (PHI): -19.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.02	0.00	13	80%	0.27	3	-0.11	4	100%	0.04
Brandon Bass	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	10	62%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	-0.04	0.09	-0.03	6	42%	0.10	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.02	-0.03	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ryan Hollins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	14	52%	0.12	4	-0.17	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.21	0.01	-0.09	12	32%	0.07	7	-0.17	4	75%	0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.27	0.27	0.01	0.25	-0.01	12	53%	0.34	2	-0.07	6	50%	-0.04
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.08	0.00	11	54%	0.14	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.06	-0.04	8	55%	0.10	3	-0.03	6	67%	0.01
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	3	90%	0.11	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	10	40%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.09	-0.01	9	52%	-0.05	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.21,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.15	-0.07	-0.02	22	30%	-0.15	1	-0.04	9	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.9	3.6	37.0	15.8	34.3	3.3	35.5	159.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS -2.6%

BOS -14.0%

PHI +42.2%

PHI +24.8%

BOS -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	16.0	15.4	15.6	91.2	100.0	102.8
season	15.5	15.6		99.4	101.0
opponent	16.1	16.2		97.6	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	17.6	15.0	17.2	14.4	16.0
PHI	15.9	15.7	13.5	16.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Bass	41	43	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-13	17	17.0	15.2	1.85	14.4	16.4	-1.97
Marquis Daniels	1	0	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.05	-2	-7	5	10.0	16.1	-6.10	0.0	15.4	-15.45
Keyon Dooling	19	17	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.21	-8	-1	-7	16.7	15.8	0.89	12.6	16.1	-3.51
Avery Bradley	50	51	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.42	12	-21	33	15.0	17.3	-2.25	17.5	12.9	4.63
Mickael Pietrus	25	23	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-6	3	16.2	16.0	0.29	14.3	15.8	-1.46
Ryan Hollins	26	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.22	-13	4	-17	18.5	15.0	3.51	14.3	15.9	-1.53
Paul Pierce	80	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.33	-3	-6	3	15.8	17.5	-1.62	15.5	14.8	0.72
Kevin Garnett	78	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-7	5	15.7	18.2	-2.47	15.5	15.0	0.51
Rajon Rondo	77	79	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.33	-6	-3	-3	15.7	18.0	-2.32	15.5	14.8	0.70
Ray Allen	58	59	-0.85	0.35	-1.19	-0.14	-24	15	-39	16.1	16.0	0.10	15.8	14.8	1.07

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Louis Williams	50	52	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.03	28	-19	47	14.7	16.4	-1.72	17.4	14.2	3.24
Lavoy Allen	61	60	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.29	11	-2	13	16.5	13.4	3.06	15.4	17.3	-1.91
Thaddeus Young	56	56	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.38	6	3	3	16.9	13.2	3.61	15.7	16.5	-0.74
Jodie Meeks	23	24	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.10	15	-6	21	13.6	16.1	-2.51	15.0	16.4	-1.40
Andre Iguodala	72	70	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.25	-2	11	-13	16.2	12.7	3.44	15.7	17.2	-1.50
Jrue Holiday	63	61	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.33	-6	15	-21	16.3	13.6	2.77	15.1	18.0	-2.88
Evan Turner	72	71	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	9	-9	14.4	19.3	-4.99	16.4	14.9	1.45
Elton Brand	33	32	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	12	-15	14.3	16.1	-1.73	16.6	15.7	0.86
Spencer Hawes	30	29	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.00	-4	13	-17	13.7	16.3	-2.64	17.7	15.2	2.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.63,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.6,0.38,0.45,0.57,0.82,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 117, GSW 120	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.19,0.21,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.47,0.54,0.68,0.58,1	90.8%
HOU 91, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.23,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.41,0.33,0.42,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.55,0.45,0.68,0.96,1	90.2%
DET 95, UTA 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.24,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.32,0.34,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.53,0.46,0.78,0.84,1	90.0%