NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	82		Excitement	8.4 [154]		MVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): +22.2%
Boston Celtics	81		Comeback	2.6 [250]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -23.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.22,0.22	0.07	0.16	0.01	15	60%	0.25	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	0.00	7	62%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.19,-0.19,0.08	-0.12	0.18	-0.01	11	42%	0.23	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.05
Jodie Meeks	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.01	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	40%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Elton Brand	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	58%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Andre Iguodala	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.06	-0.00	11	45%	0.11	4	-0.13	7	29%	-0.09
Spencer Hawes	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	13	29%	-0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Bradley	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.01	0.16	-0.00	6	67%	0.24	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.09	0.00	5	80%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.22,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.09	0.02	14	57%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marquis Daniels	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	15	37%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.08,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15	-0.15	-0.00	-0.10	0.04	12	60%	0.08	4	-0.23	1	0%	-0.06
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	12	33%	-0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.13	-0.08	0.02	9	35%	-0.09	5	-0.15	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.8	29.2	18.6	28.3	3.5	38.6	145.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +27.4%

PHI +9.3%

PHI +17.3%

BOS -6.5%

PHI +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BOS	NBA	PHI	BOS	NBA
this game	15.8	15.0	15.6	88.2	86.2	102.8
season	15.6	15.5		101.0	99.4
opponent	16.2	16.1		97.1	97.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.7	15.2	13.7	18.2	15.8
BOS	14.0	14.8	15.1	16.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lavoy Allen	58	59	0.96	-0.46	1.43	0.35	21	-20	41	15.6	16.3	-0.79	15.6	13.9	1.66
Louis Williams	74	74	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.31	17	-16	33	15.7	16.3	-0.52	15.6	12.4	3.19
Andre Iguodala	74	75	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.40	8	-7	15	15.5	17.2	-1.64	14.5	16.9	-2.49
Jrue Holiday	80	82	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.40	-7	8	-15	15.9	15.8	0.09	14.8	15.7	-0.91
Jodie Meeks	14	15	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	2	-3	11.9	16.6	-4.70	12.8	15.4	-2.57
Evan Turner	55	54	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.57	-15	16	-31	16.9	14.4	2.50	14.4	15.6	-1.21
Thaddeus Young	21	22	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	0	1	18.0	15.2	2.78	17.1	14.3	2.84
Elton Brand	36	38	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.04	-7	8	-15	15.2	16.2	-1.02	13.9	15.6	-1.70
Spencer Hawes	53	51	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.05	-12	13	-25	16.3	15.2	1.14	15.2	14.7	0.48

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Avery Bradley	35	34	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.33	18	-19	37	16.0	14.3	1.71	18.7	14.2	4.55
Mickael Pietrus	20	20	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.00	2	-3	5	17.8	14.2	3.61	18.0	15.3	2.74
Brandon Bass	48	49	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.03	0	-1	1	13.9	16.1	-2.17	15.3	16.5	-1.23
Marquis Daniels	0	1	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-1	1	0.0	15.0	-14.96	2.0	16.0	-14.00
Kevin Garnett	65	66	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.53	16	-17	33	14.9	15.2	-0.31	16.3	14.7	1.56
Keyon Dooling	23	23	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.23	-2	1	-3	16.9	14.3	2.53	14.4	16.3	-1.94
Greg Stiemsma	25	23	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	13	-27	14.7	15.1	-0.38	15.4	16.0	-0.61
Ryan Hollins	27	25	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.06	-13	12	-25	16.1	14.5	1.67	15.0	16.2	-1.16
Ray Allen	74	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.32	-6	5	-11	15.0	14.9	0.01	16.2	14.7	1.47
Rajon Rondo	78	77	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.48	-3	2	-5	14.2	18.7	-4.50	15.5	17.4	-1.84
Paul Pierce	75	75	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.48	-3	2	-5	14.3	17.4	-3.09	15.0	19.3	-4.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.33,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 80, CHI 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.37,0.24,0.72,0	90.1%
CHI 111, MEM 110	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.32,0.36,0.15,0.33,0.24,0.46,0.57,0.42,0	90.0%
NJN 108, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.3,0.35,0.43,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.39,0.19,0.21,0.55,0.73,0	90.0%