NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	111		Excitement	10.6 [40]		MVP	Antonio Blakeney (CHI): +33.3%
Memphis Grizzlies	110		Comeback	3.8 [307]		LVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): -7.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Blakeney	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,0.33	0.03	0.31	0.00	7	45%	0.33	0	0.00	8	62%	0.01
Bobby Portis	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.10	0.15	-0.01	11	71%	0.30	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Cristiano Felicio	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.19	0.05	0.14	0.00	4	64%	0.21	1	-0.02	6	50%	0.03
Denzel Valentine	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.09	-0.00	8	94%	0.28	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.03,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0,0,0.15,0.15	0.01	0.14	-0.00	9	44%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Zipser	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.09	-0.00	3	50%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Zach LaVine	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	12	59%	0.14	4	-0.09	10	100%	0.06
David Nwaba	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	59%	0.05	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	83%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	10	35%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.27	0.27	0.06	0.20	-0.01	13	58%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Selden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.01	0.21	-0.01	5	67%	0.29	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Jarell Martin	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.2	0.20	0.05	0.17	0.02	12	57%	0.23	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02
Kobi Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Deyonta Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.02	-0.02	0.08	-0.10	0.00	18	61%	0.06	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.00
Briante Weber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.04	-0.06	0.03	12	52%	-0.02	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.2,0.07,-0.08	-0.08	0.03	-0.13	-0.02	14	60%	0.10	4	-0.18	7	71%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.7	27.3	15.4	28.6	2.4	32.8	133.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +5.4%

CHI +53.0%

MEM -23.4%

CHI +10.1%

CHI +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MEM	NBA	CHI	MEM	NBA
this game	13.6	15.6	14.7	113.3	111.1	107.5
season	14.2	15.4		103.2	103.4
opponent	14.6	15.0		109.8	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.9	14.0	13.4	12.9	13.6
MEM	14.9	13.7	15.4	19.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cameron Payne	52	51	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.42	8	-7	15	12.8	14.5	-1.63	16.8	14.4	2.45
Antonio Blakeney	51	52	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.40	6	-5	11	12.6	14.6	-2.01	15.8	15.4	0.44
Denzel Valentine	42	42	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.02	17	-16	33	12.7	14.3	-1.58	16.2	15.2	1.05
Bobby Portis	47	47	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.04	16	-15	31	12.8	14.3	-1.51	16.1	15.2	0.81
Cristiano Felicio	48	48	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.31	4	-3	7	14.2	13.0	1.29	15.7	15.6	0.06
Paul Zipser	27	28	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.37	-2	3	-5	12.3	14.1	-1.84	15.9	15.5	0.36
Noah Vonleh	65	67	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.48	-15	16	-31	14.1	12.5	1.62	15.5	15.9	-0.35
Zach LaVine	54	55	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.07	-6	7	-13	14.4	12.7	1.69	14.9	16.5	-1.60
Kris Dunn	51	52	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.08	-7	8	-15	14.5	12.7	1.79	14.9	16.4	-1.50
David Nwaba	28	28	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.11	-9	10	-19	15.0	13.0	1.97	14.8	16.0	-1.14
Robin Lopez	25	25	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.05	-7	8	-15	13.9	13.5	0.44	14.9	15.9	-1.01

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyreke Evans	68	67	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.46	15	-16	31	15.5	16.0	-0.53	14.0	12.6	1.38
Dillon Brooks	62	60	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.14	4	-5	9	15.2	16.4	-1.23	14.2	12.6	1.70
Jarell Martin	64	64	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.27	5	-6	11	15.4	16.0	-0.56	13.4	14.0	-0.67
Kobi Simmons	14	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	6	-13	15.0	15.7	-0.74	13.3	13.6	-0.31
JaMychal Green	76	75	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.57	14	-15	29	15.6	15.8	-0.19	14.3	11.3	3.05
Ben McLemore	15	17	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	7	-15	16.4	15.5	0.90	13.2	13.7	-0.43
Deyonta Davis	31	31	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	8	-17	14.6	16.1	-1.54	13.7	13.5	0.17
Chandler Parsons	12	13	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.15	-13	12	-25	15.5	15.7	-0.16	12.4	13.8	-1.39
Marc Gasol	68	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.51	8	-9	17	16.1	14.6	1.54	13.5	13.7	-0.17
Wayne Selden	41	38	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.35	-6	5	-11	16.6	15.0	1.62	12.6	14.2	-1.61
Briante Weber	44	43	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.32	-8	7	-15	16.0	15.3	0.65	12.6	14.4	-1.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.32,0.36,0.15,0.33,0.24,0.46,0.57,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 72, CLE 66	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.61,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.17,0.23,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.68,0.17,0	92.4%
NJN 91, ATL 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.53,0.3,0.35,0.39,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.28,0	91.1%
ORL 107, MIA 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.5,0.3,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.43,0.42,0	90.4%