NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	108		Excitement	10.0 [63]		MVP	Devin Harris (NJN): +62.2%
Indiana Pacers	107		Comeback	2.8 [334]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (IND): -24.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Harris	0.62	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.17,0.02,0.62	0.11	0.51	0.01	16	66%	0.88	3	-0.25	12	92%	0.06
Keyon Dooling	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.33	0.07	0.26	0.00	6	69%	0.33	0	0.00	4	100%	0.09
Josh Boone	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.09	0.00	4	70%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jarvis Hayes	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.05	-0.03	7	57%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Yi Jianlian	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	37%	-0.04	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Vince Carter	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26,0,-0.1	0.18	-0.24	0.03	25	64%	0.12	3	-0.22	9	89%	0.04
Brook Lopez	-0.19	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.2,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.24	0.24	0.13	0.10	-0.00	20	59%	0.24	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.24
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.18	0.01	0.02	12	85%	0.19	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	9	68%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Travis Diener	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.29,0.2,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.04	0.00	6	92%	0.20	1	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
T.J. Ford	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	10	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.07	-0.02	10	60%	0.13	2	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.17	-0.08	-0.01	7	12%	-0.12	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	29.3	15.4	25.4	2.5	34.5	134.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +25.1%

NJN +55.2%

IND -17.4%

IND -16.4%

NJN +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	IND	NBA	NJN	IND	NBA
this game	15.7	15.1	15.5	116.1	113.8	106.4
season	16.0	14.1		106.5	106.5
opponent	15.3	15.5		107.7	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.4	16.3	14.8	17.4	15.7
IND	14.4	15.0	15.8	15.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	81	79	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.51	3	-2	5	15.8	15.0	0.79	14.9	16.2	-1.29
Brook Lopez	59	61	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.43	2	-1	3	15.2	16.5	-1.33	14.7	15.8	-1.13
Jarvis Hayes	52	52	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.47	-3	4	-7	16.2	15.0	1.23	15.2	15.0	0.21
Keyon Dooling	42	45	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.43	-4	5	-9	17.0	14.6	2.31	15.5	14.8	0.67
Ryan Anderson	40	40	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.15	5	-4	9	15.7	15.6	0.11	16.2	14.3	1.84
Vince Carter	75	78	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.35	-4	5	-9	15.1	18.2	-3.07	15.0	15.7	-0.76
Trenton Hassell	40	40	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.04	7	-6	13	14.8	16.3	-1.51	14.9	15.2	-0.29
Josh Boone	34	33	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	2	-3	16.5	15.2	1.33	15.8	14.7	1.13
Yi Jianlian	42	42	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	1	-1	15.4	15.9	-0.56	14.4	15.7	-1.29

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Graham	15	14	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-2	3	16.3	14.9	1.45	16.1	15.6	0.54
Roy Hibbert	23	24	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.07	-4	3	-7	13.4	15.7	-2.23	15.0	15.9	-0.98
T.J. Ford	25	25	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	3	-7	14.0	15.5	-1.52	14.7	16.1	-1.38
Rasho Nesterovic	42	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-1	1	16.0	14.4	1.55	16.5	15.1	1.38
Travis Diener	34	34	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.42	7	-8	15	15.1	15.1	0.00	16.1	15.4	0.72
Danny Granger	66	65	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.46	7	-8	15	14.7	16.1	-1.41	15.9	15.1	0.78
Josh McRoberts	47	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.14	-5	4	-9	15.9	14.3	1.60	15.8	15.6	0.14
Jeff Foster	63	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.41	0	-1	1	14.8	15.7	-0.93	15.1	17.0	-1.93
Jarrett Jack	72	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.44	-1	0	-1	15.6	13.5	2.05	16.0	14.9	1.10
Brandon Rush	83	84	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.42	-6	5	-11	15.0	16.3	-1.31	15.6	16.9	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.3,0.35,0.43,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.39,0.19,0.21,0.55,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 94, NYK 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.2,0.26,0.68,0.58,0	91.4%
LAL 100, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.22,0.42,0	91.1%
ATL 80, CHI 79	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.37,0.24,0.72,0	91.1%