NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	94		Excitement	8.8 [155]		MVP	Jameer Nelson (ORL): +38.8%
New York Knicks	89		Comeback	6.6 [223]		LVP	Dwight Howard (ORL): -19.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jameer Nelson	0.39	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.1,0.39	0.02	0.35	-0.03	16	53%	0.47	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0.19	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.08,0.08,0.19	0.07	0.12	0.00	13	60%	0.21	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.07
Tony Battie	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.06	0.01	7	82%	0.21	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.06
Keyon Dooling	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	10	55%	0.04	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Darko Milicic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	6	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Trevor Ariza	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	6	43%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	7	56%	0.07	6	-0.26	4	0%	-0.06

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.01	0.18	-0.03	12	61%	0.31	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.00	-0.01	21	60%	0.15	4	-0.08	11	91%	0.13
Renaldo Balkman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	69%	0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.05
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	4	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.04
Channing Frye	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.02	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Mardy Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	31%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05
Steve Francis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	11%	-0.07	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.8	29.2	18.5	28.4	3.4	38.5	147.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +80.9%

NYK -15.6%

ORL +12.0%

NYK -26.3%

NYK -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	NYK	NBA	ORL	NYK	NBA
this game	16.3	15.7	15.4	104.4	98.9	104.5
season	15.9	15.7		103.4	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.7		106.7	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.9	18.5	14.2	17.8	16.3
NYK	17.9	14.3	16.4	14.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	65	64	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.31	18	-13	31	16.0	17.0	-1.01	15.6	15.8	-0.17
Jameer Nelson	65	64	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.34	9	-4	13	16.3	16.4	-0.12	15.5	16.1	-0.55
Dwight Howard	79	78	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.37	3	2	1	15.9	19.2	-3.27	15.9	14.6	1.28
Tony Battie	58	58	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.15	8	-3	11	16.1	16.7	-0.63	15.7	15.7	-0.05
JJ Redick	48	48	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.39	-2	7	-9	17.9	14.5	3.49	14.5	17.1	-2.59
Grant Hill	45	46	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.00	7	-2	9	15.3	17.3	-2.00	16.9	14.4	2.55
Darko Milicic	29	30	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	7	-9	17.3	15.9	1.42	17.4	14.8	2.52
Keyon Dooling	28	29	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.07	-3	8	-11	14.7	17.0	-2.27	15.3	15.9	-0.51
Trevor Ariza	33	33	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.05	-13	18	-31	17.8	15.5	2.28	14.5	16.4	-1.85

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome James	12	12	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-7	9	17.9	15.3	2.57	17.2	16.2	1.08
Mardy Collins	45	46	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.22	6	-11	17	13.9	17.5	-3.64	16.2	16.5	-0.33
Renaldo Balkman	45	45	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.23	5	-10	15	15.4	16.0	-0.53	17.7	14.9	2.84
Malik Rose	28	26	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.17	0	-5	5	15.1	16.0	-0.84	18.4	15.5	2.92
Channing Frye	64	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-2	-1	15.8	15.5	0.32	15.4	18.7	-3.29
Steve Francis	24	25	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.02	-9	4	-13	17.6	15.0	2.58	14.8	16.9	-2.09
Jared Jeffries	44	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	10	-25	16.6	14.8	1.85	15.3	17.2	-1.93
Eddy Curry	72	71	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-1	-3	16.3	13.1	3.22	16.3	16.3	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	78	81	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.41	0	-5	5	15.5	16.9	-1.42	16.6	13.8	2.81
Nate Robinson	38	37	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.37	-7	2	-9	14.6	16.5	-1.88	16.2	16.4	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.2,0.26,0.68,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 94, PHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.43,0.47,0.3,0.41,0.27,0.38,0.36,0.55,0.37,0	92.0%
IND 91, NYK 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.21,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.47,0.53,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.45,0.28,0	91.4%
NJN 108, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.3,0.35,0.43,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.39,0.19,0.21,0.55,0.73,0	91.4%