NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	99		Excitement	4.0 [802]		MVP	Reggie Evans (LAC): +15.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	98		Comeback	2499.0 [1]		LVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): -13.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Evans	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.16	-0.00	0.15	-0.01	3	70%	0.18	3	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02
Chris Paul	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.16	-0.05	0.20	-0.01	12	48%	0.18	4	-0.02	5	80%	0.10
Nick Young	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.04	0.07	9	86%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Blake Griffin	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.08	0.02	15	50%	0.10	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.05
Kenyon Martin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	12	46%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Randy Foye	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	8	56%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Mo Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	6	64%	-0.02	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.00	0.03	8	85%	0.10	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	12	59%	0.06	4	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	2	125%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.04	-0.00	10	64%	0.08	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	10	36%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.09	0.01	4	60%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.13	-0.07	20	44%	-0.09	2	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.16	-0.07	-0.10	13	23%	-0.12	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.6	31.9	18.8	29.3	3.6	38.1	150.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +24.9%

LAC +34.4%

MEM -6.7%

MEM -6.5%

LAC +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MEM	NBA	LAC	MEM	NBA
this game	15.1	16.6	15.6	108.8	107.7	102.8
season	16.2	15.6		106.0	102.0
opponent	15.7	15.7		100.1	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.5	17.0	16.3	10.0	15.1
MEM	16.0	16.5	13.7	20.0	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Bledsoe	40	38	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.24	24	-23	47	12.7	17.0	-4.31	18.2	15.4	2.79
Reggie Evans	40	41	0.92	-0.42	1.35	0.25	23	-22	45	12.2	17.3	-5.06	18.2	15.2	2.93
Blake Griffin	64	65	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.65	-3	4	-7	15.0	15.4	-0.40	17.1	15.1	2.02
Nick Young	48	49	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.27	28	-27	55	13.5	16.9	-3.45	17.0	16.0	1.00
Chris Paul	71	73	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.58	-1	2	-3	15.0	15.2	-0.21	16.6	16.4	0.14
Kenyon Martin	31	29	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.22	1	0	1	15.2	15.0	0.16	15.0	17.3	-2.24
Mo Williams	32	32	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.21	3	-2	5	15.6	14.8	0.83	15.1	17.4	-2.31
DeAndre Jordan	48	47	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	0.20	-19	20	-39	17.2	12.7	4.53	15.3	17.9	-2.61
Randy Foye	39	39	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.33	-24	25	-49	17.2	13.5	3.71	16.2	16.9	-0.71
Caron Butler	42	42	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	0.35	-27	28	-55	17.3	13.2	4.13	16.0	17.0	-1.00

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	58	57	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.01	1	-2	3	17.3	15.3	2.02	15.8	13.9	1.92
Quincy Pondexter	22	22	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.23	-7	6	-13	16.0	16.7	-0.68	15.0	15.1	-0.12
Marreese Speights	36	36	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.21	-8	7	-15	15.1	17.5	-2.40	14.8	15.3	-0.47
Dante Cunningham	22	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	6	-13	15.9	16.8	-0.92	13.7	15.5	-1.79
Tony Allen	40	36	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.26	3	-4	7	18.3	15.2	3.06	17.2	13.7	3.53
O.J. Mayo	54	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.19	-5	4	-9	15.4	18.2	-2.74	14.0	17.0	-3.05
Gilbert Arenas	20	22	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.23	-4	3	-7	14.8	17.1	-2.26	13.9	15.5	-1.61
Marc Gasol	66	66	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.78	10	-11	21	16.9	15.6	1.38	15.5	14.0	1.56
Rudy Gay	66	66	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.73	7	-8	15	16.6	16.4	0.17	14.9	15.5	-0.60
Mike Conley	71	71	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.67	5	-6	11	17.1	14.8	2.26	15.0	15.2	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.77,0.84,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,0.96,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 95, MEM 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.93,0.87,0.72,0	95.1%
SEA 114, MIN 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.68,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.84,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.89,0.42,0	93.6%
SAC 102, CHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.68,0.27,0	92.3%