NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	114		Excitement	4.4 [950]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +36.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	106		Comeback	105.4 [5]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -16.2%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.36	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.2,0.36	0.18	0.26	0.08	20	61%	0.36	0	0.00	17	94%	0.12
Chris Wilcox	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.09	0.04	14	58%	0.13	1	-0.01	5	20%	-0.10
Earl Watson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.11	-0.03	0.05	13	67%	0.06	2	-0.03	10	70%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Gelabale	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	5	75%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	6	58%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	10	59%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	10	68%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	72%	0.07	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	3	117%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	10	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	17	58%	0.06	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	67%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	4	62%	-0.01	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16	-0.16	-0.03	-0.12	0.01	19	47%	-0.11	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	31.1	15.6	23.5	2.4	39.6	139.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +11.9%

SEA +23.1%

MIN -0.9%

SEA +18.6%

MIN -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	MIN	NBA	SEA	MIN	NBA
this game	15.4	14.7	15.4	120.0	110.4	104.5
season	15.4	15.4		105.5	101.9
opponent	15.6	15.4		105.8	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.9	15.3	17.0	13.9	15.4
MIN	13.5	12.4	19.0	14.9	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Wilks	34	35	0.99	-0.49	1.48	0.02	33	-25	58	14.4	16.0	-1.56	16.2	13.9	2.29
Mickael Gelabale	44	43	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.35	13	-5	18	14.6	16.2	-1.59	12.9	16.2	-3.37
Rashard Lewis	72	73	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.25	15	-7	22	15.7	14.8	0.87	15.7	11.7	3.92
Earl Watson	70	71	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.07	21	-13	34	15.2	16.2	-1.03	14.7	14.8	-0.16
Chris Wilcox	76	78	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.37	9	-1	10	14.6	18.8	-4.25	14.6	15.4	-0.82
Andre Brown	8	8	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	9	-10	11.6	15.8	-4.17	8.9	15.2	-6.38
Nick Collison	43	44	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.16	-2	10	-12	16.5	14.6	1.91	16.0	13.6	2.41
Johan Petro	40	41	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	-0.04	-8	16	-24	16.3	14.8	1.52	15.3	14.3	0.96
Luke Ridnour	50	50	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	0.22	-19	27	-46	16.3	14.5	1.81	13.6	16.0	-2.42
Damien Wilkins	38	37	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	0.25	-21	29	-50	16.7	14.6	2.07	14.7	14.7	0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashad McCants	23	22	0.21	-0.71	0.93	-0.02	8	-16	24	11.7	15.7	-3.92	15.2	15.5	-0.34
Mark Blount	59	59	0.20	-0.70	0.89	0.14	2	-10	12	15.4	13.7	1.70	14.8	16.6	-1.79
Craig Smith	50	47	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.24	-2	-6	4	14.6	14.8	-0.21	15.9	15.0	0.98
Marko Jaric	25	26	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.10	-10	2	-12	12.8	15.4	-2.65	16.6	15.0	1.56
Randy Foye	46	44	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.32	-6	-2	-4	13.5	15.8	-2.30	15.2	15.6	-0.40
Kevin Garnett	73	74	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.44	-3	-5	2	14.3	16.1	-1.80	15.8	14.3	1.48
Mike James	53	53	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.42	-6	-2	-4	15.5	13.8	1.68	15.7	15.2	0.49
Ricky Davis	81	80	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.25	-12	4	-16	15.6	10.2	5.36	15.4	15.8	-0.42
Trenton Hassell	70	70	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.36	-11	3	-14	15.6	12.3	3.31	15.0	16.6	-1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.75,0.68,0.64,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.84,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.89,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 99, MEM 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.77,0.84,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,0.96,0.58,0	93.6%
DEN 95, MEM 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.93,0.87,0.72,0	93.4%
MEM 91, GSW 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,0.9,0.85,0.85,0.42,0	93.1%