NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	87		Excitement	1.4 [690]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +11.3%
Utah Jazz	81		Comeback	1.5 [875]		LVP	Paul Millsap (UTA): -22.0%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.04	-0.02	11	65%	0.18	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
DeJuan Blair	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Gary Neal	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.01	0.04	6	79%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	45%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Stephen Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	67%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	9	43%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Patty Mills	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	10	48%	0.00	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Danny Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.03	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	7	21%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	14	33%	-0.00	2	-0.05	5	40%	-0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.12	0.00	0.05	19	67%	0.11	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.00
Blake Ahearn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	0.03	8	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	12	67%	-0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	17	44%	0.02	2	-0.04	9	78%	-0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	5	60%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	7	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.17	-0.04	-0.00	8	0%	-0.16	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22	-0.22	-0.19	-0.06	-0.02	17	26%	-0.13	3	-0.09	4	50%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.8	33.1	18.7	27.3	3.3	40.7	151.2
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +54.7%

SAS +5.1%

UTA -16.7%

SAS +4.3%

SAS +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	UTA	NBA	SAS	UTA	NBA
this game	15.4	15.3	15.6	93.5	85.3	102.8
season	15.3	15.8		109.1	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.2		104.7	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.5	15.4	13.6	16.1	15.4
UTA	14.2	15.9	15.8	15.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tiago Splitter	40	40	0.59	-0.09	0.69	-0.02	21	-15	36	14.4	16.1	-1.69	15.9	14.8	1.08
Gary Neal	37	39	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.15	13	-7	20	14.3	16.1	-1.82	14.8	15.6	-0.86
Matt Bonner	40	41	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.10	20	-14	34	14.4	16.1	-1.69	15.5	15.1	0.33
Stephen Jackson	52	54	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	-6	18	14.0	17.1	-3.05	15.6	14.9	0.74
Danny Green	45	43	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.05	16	-10	26	16.8	14.0	2.87	16.3	14.4	1.88
Manu Ginobili	53	56	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.23	-2	8	-10	15.1	15.7	-0.63	14.9	15.7	-0.80
Kawhi Leonard	39	40	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.24	-6	12	-18	16.3	14.7	1.62	14.6	15.7	-1.12
Boris Diaw	39	40	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.37	-12	18	-30	16.5	14.5	2.02	15.3	15.3	0.00
Patty Mills	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	8	-10	1.0	15.5	-14.52	10.0	15.3	-5.33
James Anderson	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	8	-10	1.0	15.5	-14.52	10.0	15.3	-5.33
DeJuan Blair	12	13	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	8	-10	17.1	15.1	1.97	15.1	15.3	-0.23
Tim Duncan	54	55	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.29	-13	19	-32	15.8	14.7	1.12	14.8	15.9	-1.08
Tony Parker	52	52	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.24	-13	19	-32	16.1	14.5	1.57	15.4	15.1	0.33

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	68	67	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.31	15	-21	36	14.6	16.9	-2.26	16.2	13.2	3.02
Blake Ahearn	0	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-8	10	0.0	15.3	-15.27	1.0	15.5	-14.52
Gordon Hayward	49	49	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.00	-2	-4	2	15.0	15.5	-0.52	16.3	14.3	1.94
Paul Millsap	83	80	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.53	11	-17	28	15.3	14.8	0.50	15.4	15.2	0.16
Enes Kanter	15	14	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.01	-8	2	-10	17.3	14.9	2.45	13.7	15.7	-1.94
DeMarre Carroll	35	33	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.28	1	-7	8	15.1	15.3	-0.21	15.4	15.3	0.04
Josh Howard	13	13	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	6	-18	15.2	15.3	-0.05	13.1	15.7	-2.66
Al Jefferson	80	78	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-6	6	14.9	17.3	-2.45	15.8	12.9	2.98
Derrick Favors	72	73	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-6	6	14.8	16.7	-1.93	15.9	13.4	2.50
Alec Burks	33	31	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.03	-16	10	-26	16.7	14.5	2.13	13.5	16.3	-2.77
Jamaal Tinsley	27	26	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.01	-21	15	-36	16.9	14.6	2.26	13.2	16.2	-3.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.22,0.19,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 113, PHI 91	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.25,0.15,0.12,0.24,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.2,0.13,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
PHI 95, MEM 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.16,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.19,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.08,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.1%
GSW 121, CHA 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.04,0,0,0	93.9%