NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	121		Excitement	5.6 [756]		MVP	Cody Zeller (CHA): +23.9%
Charlotte Hornets	110		Comeback	1.2 [1135]		LVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): -11.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.02	-0.00	15	69%	0.18	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Klay Thompson	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.03	0.02	19	65%	0.18	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Durant	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.04	0.01	15	62%	0.16	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	5	60%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	8	82%	0.16	6	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Alfonzo McKinnie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinn Cook	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	18	41%	-0.02	4	-0.09	3	67%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cody Zeller	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.24	0.03	0.03	14	93%	0.24	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.01	8	61%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	11	58%	0.02	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.02	-0.04	9	35%	0.02	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	0.05	13	47%	-0.03	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.02
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	24	46%	0.05	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.8	27.3	14.8	29.0	1.7	28.0	127.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +53.0%

CHA -4.8%

GSW +10.5%

CHA -10.2%

GSW +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CHA	NBA	GSW	CHA	NBA
this game	13.9	14.4	14.3	118.6	107.8	109.3
season	13.4	14.6		114.5	110.4
opponent	14.3	15.0		111.6	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.9	13.7	13.5	14.5	13.9
CHA	14.3	13.5	14.2	15.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Klay Thompson	79	79	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.07	19	-8	27	14.3	12.4	1.93	14.8	12.7	2.20
DeMarcus Cousins	68	68	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.10	10	1	9	13.5	14.7	-1.24	15.2	12.6	2.65
Andre Iguodala	49	49	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	-3	17	14.3	13.5	0.89	15.0	13.8	1.25
Shaun Livingston	26	28	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.03	13	-2	15	13.7	13.9	-0.26	17.1	13.3	3.75
Draymond Green	76	74	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.13	6	5	1	14.0	13.6	0.41	13.9	15.6	-1.78
Alfonzo McKinnie	34	35	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	11	-11	12.6	14.5	-1.99	13.8	14.6	-0.84
Kevin Durant	76	76	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.27	-4	15	-19	14.0	13.7	0.31	13.6	16.5	-2.88
Kevon Looney	20	22	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.10	0	11	-11	14.4	13.7	0.71	13.7	14.5	-0.86
Stephen Curry	77	75	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.20	-4	15	-19	14.0	13.5	0.48	13.8	15.9	-2.09
Quinn Cook	5	4	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	10	-9	11.2	14.0	-2.82	4.5	14.8	-10.26

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Williams	58	59	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.10	2	-13	15	13.6	15.4	-1.82	13.4	14.6	-1.21
Nicolas Batum	82	82	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-11	11	13.7	17.2	-3.54	13.9	13.6	0.29
Bismack Biyombo	22	20	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.04	-5	-6	1	15.4	14.1	1.35	14.2	13.8	0.40
Jeremy Lamb	64	65	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-10	9	14.6	13.9	0.69	13.6	14.5	-0.91
Kemba Walker	89	89	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-12	13	13.9	17.3	-3.39	13.9	14.0	-0.13
Malik Monk	12	13	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	-1	-9	16.3	14.1	2.24	14.1	13.9	0.22
Cody Zeller	80	82	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	-5	-1	14.1	15.4	-1.35	13.8	14.2	-0.40
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	25	23	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	0	-11	16.5	13.7	2.82	13.3	14.0	-0.69
Tony Parker	26	25	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.03	-14	3	-17	16.0	13.8	2.16	14.8	13.6	1.27
Miles Bridges	52	52	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	0	-11	14.5	14.2	0.22	14.5	13.2	1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 104, DEN 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.33,0.23,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.05,0,0,0	95.4%
SAS 95, MEM 79	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.17,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
LAL 98, HOU 88	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.23,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.21,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%