NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	95		Excitement	5.7 [639]		MVP	Wesley Person (MEM): +15.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	88		Comeback	1.1 [961]		LVP	Gordan Giricek (MEM): -17.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.05	0.04	-0.04	6	75%	0.14	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Mark Bryant	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.21,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	24	55%	0.13	5	-0.12	12	75%	-0.03
Art Long	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	13	52%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Derrick Coleman	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	3	12%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Snow	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	10	58%	0.06	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Keith Van Horn	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	12	42%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	8	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.04	-0.02	8	75%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.04	0.04	13	70%	0.07	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	61%	0.01	3	-0.06	9	89%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	6	37%	-0.04	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Mike Batiste	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	9	44%	-0.00	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.03	0.03	13	40%	-0.12	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.18	-0.02	-0.02	12	20%	-0.11	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.6	34.6	17.5	23.5	2.6	36.5	144.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +43.6%

MEM -6.4%

PHI +9.6%

PHI +3.4%

MEM -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MEM	NBA	PHI	MEM	NBA
this game	16.2	15.2	15.5	104.4	95.7	101.6
season	15.3	15.3		102.1	101.8
opponent	15.2	15.5		105.1	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.2	13.3	16.1	19.2	16.2
MEM	12.3	14.4	17.4	17.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	59	58	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.10	15	-8	23	16.7	15.4	1.22	15.2	15.3	-0.02
Allen Iverson	85	88	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.30	4	3	1	16.5	12.7	3.82	15.2	17.2	-2.09
Keith Van Horn	60	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.24	5	2	3	17.2	14.4	2.85	15.6	14.5	1.16
Brian Skinner	40	39	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.12	8	-1	9	15.6	16.7	-1.13	15.1	15.4	-0.26
Greg Buckner	37	38	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.12	7	0	7	14.2	17.6	-3.49	14.4	15.9	-1.50
Eric Snow	74	75	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.25	0	7	-7	16.7	14.2	2.45	15.9	12.4	3.55
Derrick Coleman	30	30	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.09	3	4	-1	16.0	16.4	-0.39	12.9	16.4	-3.49
Todd MacCulloch	61	64	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	10	-13	16.3	16.0	0.29	15.8	13.9	1.90
Art Long	1	0	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	7	-7	0.0	16.4	-16.41	0.0	15.2	-15.25
John Salmons	1	0	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	7	-7	0.0	16.4	-16.41	0.0	15.2	-15.25
Mark Bryant	7	7	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	11	-15	15.9	16.3	-0.40	16.4	15.2	1.28

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Williams	46	46	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-6	5	15.4	15.1	0.33	17.0	15.4	1.56
Pau Gasol	59	57	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.21	3	-10	13	15.0	15.8	-0.79	16.1	16.5	-0.48
Stromile Swift	61	59	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.17	1	-8	9	15.2	15.3	-0.11	16.4	15.8	0.60
Drew Gooden	61	60	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-8	9	15.2	15.3	-0.11	16.5	15.6	0.89
Wesley Person	57	55	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.30	2	-9	11	15.6	14.6	1.05	17.4	14.4	2.96
Gordan Giricek	35	36	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	2	-11	14.6	15.6	-1.05	14.4	17.4	-2.96
Lorenzen Wright	34	35	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.10	-8	1	-9	15.6	15.1	0.49	16.7	16.0	0.69
Shane Battier	31	31	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.11	-8	1	-9	15.3	15.2	0.11	15.6	16.5	-0.89
Mike Batiste	30	31	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	3	-13	15.5	15.1	0.42	15.7	16.5	-0.84
Earl Watson	46	45	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	-1	-5	15.1	15.4	-0.33	15.4	17.0	-1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.23,0.16,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.19,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.08,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 94, MIA 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.31,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.33,0.32,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	94.5%
HOU 104, DEN 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.33,0.23,0.21,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.05,0,0,0	94.4%
POR 96, LAL 88	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.27,0.15,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.3%