inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 82 Excitement4.7 [912] MVPLuol Deng (CHI): +14.3%
Chicago Bulls 103 Comeback2.0 [613] LVPJoakim Noah (CHI): -12.7%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Bosh0.100,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.200.010.101775%0.142-0.046100%0.01
James Jones0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00280%0.0300.001100%0.01
Eddie House0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Juwan Howard0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike Miller0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Jamaal Magloire-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.06-0.01-0.051747%0.034-0.064100%0.02
LeBron James-0.060,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.08-0.01-0.041544%0.054-0.104100%0.02
Mario Chalmers-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.01-0.020.04764%-0.013-0.0600%0.00
Mike Bibby-0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.040.01450%-0.012-0.0700%0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luol Deng0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.140.040.031564%0.1400.003100%0.02
Derrick Rose0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.030.012256%0.144-0.09683%0.01
Carlos Boozer0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.011058%0.041-0.004100%0.01
Taj Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.02853%0.061-0.021100%0.00
Ronnie Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.010.03567%0.0300.002100%0.01
Omer Asik0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.01-0.00283%0.072-0.05250%-0.01
Keith Bogans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00437%-0.0100.0000%0.00
CJ Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.01437%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.000.03350%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Joakim Noah0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.10-0.020.001430%-0.101-0.03250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.63.532.419.725.72.832.2142.9
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +1.3%
CHI +9.2%
CHI +29.4%
CHI +12.0%
MIA -2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACHINBAMIACHINBA
this game17.417.115.598.8122.6105.7
season16.015.7109.0106.5
opponent15.915.699.2102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.517.719.117.617.4
CHI17.213.618.819.217.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eddie House330.00-0.500.500.06-2-191718.317.40.9520.017.03.04
Juwan Howard330.00-0.500.500.06-2-191718.317.40.9520.017.03.04
Udonis Haslem67-0.00-0.500.500.12-4-171315.817.5-1.7120.016.83.19
Mike Miller55-0.03-0.470.440.06-3-181519.417.32.1114.017.3-3.27
Jamaal Magloire1818-0.16-0.340.190.08-8-13517.817.30.5316.617.2-0.59
Mario Chalmers4040-0.20-0.300.110.21-14-7-718.016.81.2116.118.0-1.90
Mike Bibby3939-0.25-0.250.01-0.10-5-161117.017.8-0.8418.615.72.88
James Jones4243-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.04-8-13518.116.71.3616.317.9-1.67
Joel Anthony5254-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.09-8-13517.717.00.6216.817.5-0.72
Chris Bosh6666-0.36-0.14-0.230.08-15-6-916.919.5-2.6516.917.6-0.69
LeBron James7173-0.41-0.09-0.320.00-14-7-717.616.41.1717.216.11.13
Dwyane Wade7069-0.49-0.01-0.490.15-221-2316.920.3-3.4217.316.21.06

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luol Deng78770.480.020.45-0.051831517.215.71.5117.515.81.71
Joakim Noah64620.400.100.31-0.04156917.117.00.0917.018.7-1.67
Derrick Rose68650.390.110.28-0.02147717.216.70.4717.417.6-0.17
Ronnie Brewer32330.280.220.05-0.11138517.416.80.5917.517.40.16
Taj Gibson38380.210.29-0.07-0.281741317.816.51.3118.616.52.09
Carlos Boozer47460.210.29-0.070.18120-1916.517.8-1.2716.918.1-1.24
Keith Bogans27270.180.32-0.150.12219-1717.916.71.1517.117.6-0.41
Omer Asik19200.170.33-0.16-0.09912-316.917.1-0.1617.817.30.56
CJ Watson16180.110.39-0.28-0.09714-716.717.2-0.4717.617.40.17
Kyle Korver31290.070.43-0.35-0.19912-315.717.8-2.1117.217.5-0.28


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 91, LAL 1040.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.98,1,0.99,0.95,1,1,1,1,194.7%
ORL 97, NYK 1130.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,194.6%
SAC 82, POR 930.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.91,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.99,1,1,194.6%