NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	91		Excitement	4.7 [851]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +20.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	104		Comeback	2.0 [1159]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (POR): -11.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.18	-0.01	0.07	11	88%	0.14	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
James Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.06	17	55%	0.02	3	-0.05	8	62%	-0.02
Steve Blake	-0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	11	55%	0.01	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	15	33%	-0.08	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	7	14%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.29	0.01	0.10	16	80%	0.23	1	-0.03	13	92%	0.04
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	7	62%	0.05	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	12	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	9	62%	0.06	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	7	47%	0.04	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	0.02	9	56%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	45%	-0.00	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	2.8	30.4	16.5	24.4	2.5	30.7	134.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +36.4%

LAL +4.4%

LAL +2.0%

LAL +6.7%

LAL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAL	NBA	POR	LAL	NBA
this game	17.1	14.4	15.4	100.0	113.0	105.7
season	16.7	14.6		105.5	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.4		104.1	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.4	19.3	17.8	15.0	17.1
LAL	12.4	13.5	15.0	17.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	27	27	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.22	12	-25	37	16.4	17.4	-1.02	15.6	13.9	1.63
Raef LaFrentz	0	1	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-11	9	0.0	17.1	-17.09	4.0	14.5	-10.52
Sergio Rodriguez	31	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.09	-10	-3	-7	17.4	16.9	0.50	14.2	14.5	-0.29
Martell Webster	51	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-11	9	16.3	18.1	-1.76	14.9	13.7	1.15
James Jones	41	41	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.00	-9	-4	-5	17.8	16.5	1.22	13.0	15.5	-2.49
Steve Blake	62	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.18	-3	-10	7	16.7	18.0	-1.34	14.7	13.6	1.10
LaMarcus Aldridge	81	82	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-6	-1	16.8	19.2	-2.37	14.3	15.2	-0.90
Travis Outlaw	76	77	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.10	-8	-5	-3	17.0	17.3	-0.29	14.1	15.7	-1.59
Jarrett Jack	38	36	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.07	-14	1	-15	18.6	16.0	2.51	13.4	15.0	-1.62
Joel Przybilla	48	49	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	0.03	-22	9	-31	17.4	16.7	0.74	15.6	13.0	2.55

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	81	80	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.13	25	-12	37	13.9	18.1	-4.19	17.1	17.0	0.10
Luke Walton	41	40	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.12	7	6	1	14.0	14.7	-0.68	16.9	17.3	-0.38
Derek Fisher	61	58	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	5	3	14.2	14.9	-0.71	17.2	16.9	0.28
Jordan Farmar	31	33	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.10	5	8	-3	14.9	14.2	0.71	16.9	17.2	-0.28
Ronny Turiaf	28	29	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.04	7	6	1	13.4	14.8	-1.40	17.0	17.1	-0.18
Pau Gasol	60	59	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	5	3	15.0	13.3	1.62	17.4	16.5	0.95
Sasha Vujacic	27	27	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.07	5	8	-3	14.9	14.2	0.69	18.1	16.6	1.51
Lamar Odom	76	76	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.27	-2	15	-17	14.5	14.0	0.49	16.8	18.5	-1.73
Vladimir Radmanovic	53	52	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	9	-5	14.8	13.8	1.01	17.0	17.2	-0.16
DJ Mbenga	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	18.0	14.3	3.68	5.0	17.2	-12.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.98,1,0.99,0.95,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 80, SAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.36,0.38,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.7,0.82,0.8,0.89,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
MIA 82, CHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.75,0.78,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
LAL 83, PHX 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.76,0.84,0.81,0.89,0.87,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%