inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 98 Excitement8.8 [139] MVPRay Allen (BOS): +19.5%
Boston Celtics 90 Comeback3.6 [358] LVPKevin Garnett (BOS): -36.7%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Bosh0.140,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.140.030.110.001751%0.161-0.02580%0.02
LeBron James0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.01,0.16,0.05,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.030.010.02-0.002854%0.445-0.419100%0.08
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
James Jones-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.010.001100%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Eddie House-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.020.002100%0.042-0.0700%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Mario Chalmers-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00275%0.022-0.0500%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.050.04-0.070.021856%0.043-0.091486%0.03
Mike Miller-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.030.0020%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Mike Bibby-0.100,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.030.00633%-0.052-0.0500%0.00

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ray Allen0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.020.17-0.011257%0.242-0.04683%0.02
Delonte West0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.080.08-0.010.05-0.03762%0.173-0.10250%-0.02
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.01-0.01470%0.091-0.042100%0.02
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.01657%0.0200.002100%0.01
Shaquille O'Neal00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Glen Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00440%-0.021-0.032100%0.02
Rajon Rondo0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.01-0.10-0.00762%-0.033-0.072100%0.01
Paul Pierce0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.24,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.25-0.250.04-0.250.032057%0.124-0.37786%0.01
Kevin Garnett0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.37,-0.37-0.37-0.12-0.240.011027%-0.262-0.11683%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game31.23.433.217.830.02.835.02.616.3172.2
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.91.916.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +11.9%
MIA +12.6%
MIA +24.9%
MIA +10.4%
BOS -9.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIABOSNBAMIABOSNBA
this game17.115.515.5101.091.8105.7
season16.015.7109.0104.8
opponent15.815.699.6102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA15.814.819.519.615.817.1
BOS13.717.917.515.411.515.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwyane Wade84860.62-0.120.730.2114-62016.720.0-3.3315.316.7-1.41
Mario Chalmers49480.52-0.020.540.3271617.716.51.1714.516.5-2.06
LeBron James93930.440.060.380.2371617.214.22.9915.319.4-4.10
Chris Bosh80820.420.080.330.2462417.913.54.3515.714.70.98
Joel Anthony55540.120.38-0.260.1208-816.617.8-1.1916.414.51.87
Zydrunas Ilgauskas880.030.47-0.45-0.0326-412.417.5-5.1614.015.6-1.64
Eddie House780.010.49-0.490.0108-813.017.4-4.4314.015.6-1.64
Mike Bibby37380.010.49-0.49-0.0217-616.917.3-0.4017.014.52.48
James Jones4445-0.020.52-0.55-0.0517-617.516.80.7915.715.30.41
Mike Miller1211-0.030.53-0.560.03-210-1220.416.63.7717.415.32.09
Udonis Haslem56-0.090.59-0.690.02-412-1616.417.2-0.7516.715.41.23

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Glen Davis29290.18-0.680.870.132-101215.715.40.3017.417.00.48
Jermaine O'Neal5148-0.02-0.480.470.04-2-6417.413.53.8418.116.12.00
Shaquille O'Neal88-0.03-0.470.450.03-2-6414.015.6-1.6412.417.5-5.16
Jeff Green3333-0.17-0.330.15-0.201-91014.216.2-2.0017.017.2-0.22
Rajon Rondo7069-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.17-5-3-216.114.11.9117.117.2-0.09
Ray Allen8281-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.35-2-6415.714.41.2817.714.03.73
Delonte West5757-0.570.07-0.65-0.25-113-1414.417.1-2.7716.917.4-0.45
Paul Pierce8483-0.580.08-0.66-0.26-113-1415.416.2-0.8216.620.3-3.71
Kevin Garnett7677-0.580.08-0.67-0.29-102-1215.216.6-1.3917.017.5-0.55


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.67,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.33,0.15,0.06,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
IND 103, NYK 960.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.62,0.77,0.79,0.59,0.28,0.47,0.36,0.33,0.74,0.54,0.55,0.22,0.22,0.02,089.5%
CHA 114, PHX 1090.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.55,0.51,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.73,0.59,0.47,0.6,0.76,0.55,0.69,0.84,0.54,0.39,0.16,0.15,0.04,089.0%
MIL 120, WAS 1160.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.23,0.28,0.46,0.31,0.22,0.14,0.16,089.0%