NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	103		Excitement	11.5 [33]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +55.6%
New York Knicks	96		Comeback	13.0 [131]		LVP	Kenyon Martin (NYK): -30.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0.56	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.06,0.28,0.22,0.37,0.47,0.56,0.56	0.12	0.43	-0.01	26	55%	0.57	1	-0.02	12	75%	0.09
Luis Scola	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	4	80%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Copeland	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	5	62%	0.06	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
CJ Watson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.04	0.00	6	44%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Orlando Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.3,0.3,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	0.03	-0.12	0.00	18	52%	-0.01	2	-0.08	8	62%	-0.14
David West	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	13	33%	-0.12	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Lance Stephenson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	10	39%	-0.02	4	-0.13	3	100%	0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.07	0.19	-0.03	15	63%	0.34	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.03	19	54%	0.13	1	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Cole Aldrich	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	28	45%	0.07	4	-0.11	10	100%	0.15
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	6	29%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.09	-0.22	-0.02	16	29%	-0.29	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.12	-0.19	-0.01	8	33%	-0.12	4	-0.18	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.9	1.8	30.5	17.2	34.4	2.8	42.1	1.5	15.2	169.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	1.9	17.6	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +28.5%

IND +24.1%

NYK -17.4%

IND +19.4%

NYK -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	14.9	15.5	15.1	101.0	89.7	105.2
season	15.8	16.0		102.7	106.4
opponent	15.4	15.2		107.6	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	16.6	14.6	14.2	15.5	12.4	14.9
NYK	16.1	16.0	13.0	17.2	16.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Hill	82	86	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.28	8	-1	9	14.9	14.9	-0.04	15.8	14.3	1.50
Paul George	95	98	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.33	6	1	5	15.0	13.7	1.30	15.7	13.3	2.36
Chris Copeland	12	13	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.22	7	0	7	13.4	15.1	-1.71	15.1	15.6	-0.48
David West	78	81	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.32	2	5	-3	15.0	14.7	0.33	15.7	14.8	0.91
Roy Hibbert	68	71	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	-3	13	15.1	14.5	0.68	16.6	13.4	3.17
CJ Watson	33	35	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.07	7	0	7	13.6	15.5	-1.90	14.9	15.8	-0.91
Lance Stephenson	81	85	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.29	-4	11	-15	15.2	13.7	1.52	15.5	15.4	0.17
Luis Scola	32	35	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.08	6	1	5	13.8	15.4	-1.66	14.1	16.2	-2.14
Orlando Johnson	9	10	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.05	1	6	-5	16.0	14.8	1.18	13.9	15.7	-1.76
Ian Mahinmi	20	21	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.02	-8	15	-23	16.5	14.5	2.03	13.2	16.1	-2.87

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Iman Shumpert	74	70	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.03	5	-12	17	14.6	17.4	-2.79	15.6	13.5	2.07
Cole Aldrich	1	0	-0.04	-0.47	0.43	0.05	-3	-4	1	0.0	15.6	-15.64	0.0	14.9	-14.92
Pablo Prigioni	32	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.07	-4	-3	-1	13.6	16.3	-2.67	14.3	15.2	-0.88
Tim Hardaway Jr.	9	8	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-6	5	15.0	15.5	-0.54	10.5	15.3	-4.80
Metta World Peace	37	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.14	-12	5	-17	13.8	16.4	-2.62	13.5	15.6	-2.08
Andrea Bargnani	68	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.42	3	-10	13	17.2	12.5	4.69	16.1	12.4	3.78
Beno Udrih	73	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-5	3	16.7	13.0	3.66	15.3	14.0	1.37
Carmelo Anthony	83	79	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.37	-4	-3	-1	16.1	13.3	2.84	15.1	14.5	0.57
Kenyon Martin	79	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.35	-6	-1	-5	15.1	16.6	-1.46	14.3	16.8	-2.58
J.R. Smith	79	74	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.25	-11	4	-15	15.3	16.1	-0.83	14.7	15.6	-0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.62,0.77,0.79,0.59,0.28,0.47,0.36,0.33,0.74,0.54,0.55,0.22,0.22,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 98, BOS 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.67,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.33,0.15,0.06,0.04,0	89.5%
CHA 114, PHX 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.55,0.51,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.73,0.59,0.47,0.6,0.76,0.55,0.69,0.84,0.54,0.39,0.16,0.15,0.04,0	89.3%
CHA 108, DET 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.74,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.6,0.75,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.69,0.45,0.68,0.84,0.46,0.31,0.16,0.22,0.02,0	88.3%