NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	89		Excitement	5.6 [718]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (DAL): +29.0%
Dallas Mavericks	101		Comeback	2.0 [707]		LVP	Patty Mills (POR): -6.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	0.01	0.05	10	67%	0.09	1	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	-0.02	-0.07	11	59%	0.12	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	-0.02	7	71%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	50%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.04	0.01	18	55%	0.03	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Gerald Wallace	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.02	11	60%	0.07	2	-0.07	8	62%	-0.04
Rudy Fernandez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Roy	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Patty Mills	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.18	0.10	-0.00	13	81%	0.29	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.16	0.02	0.02	11	78%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	0.05	0.05	22	54%	0.12	1	-0.03	17	88%	0.03
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.04	-0.00	7	37%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	12	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	1	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	0%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	3.4	33.8	19.6	27.0	2.8	38.0	152.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +13.6%

DAL +8.8%

DAL +0.4%

DAL +27.7%

POR -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DAL	NBA	POR	DAL	NBA
this game	16.4	17.7	15.5	106.0	118.8	105.7
season	16.5	15.7		106.7	108.5
opponent	15.7	15.7		103.8	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.4	14.5	17.6	17.3	16.4
DAL	17.9	15.5	19.2	18.7	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	9	9	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-14	16	14.6	16.6	-2.03	13.1	18.2	-5.14
Wesley Matthews	60	61	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	-8	4	16.9	15.0	1.92	19.2	14.0	5.22
Brandon Roy	16	15	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-6	0	16.8	16.3	0.55	14.2	18.5	-4.26
Andre Miller	65	67	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-5	-2	16.4	16.3	0.07	18.9	13.3	5.62
Gerald Wallace	66	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-6	0	16.2	17.2	-1.02	18.1	16.4	1.67
Rudy Fernandez	22	22	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-5	-2	14.7	17.0	-2.29	14.0	19.0	-5.06
Marcus Camby	63	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.21	-7	-5	-2	16.7	15.4	1.32	17.7	17.6	0.13
Nicolas Batum	43	46	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	0	-12	16.4	16.3	0.10	16.8	18.7	-1.87
LaMarcus Aldridge	75	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.11	-13	1	-14	16.6	14.1	2.53	18.0	15.4	2.53

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	64	64	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.09	17	-5	22	18.4	15.7	2.65	17.1	13.9	3.18
Brendan Haywood	37	37	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.20	9	3	6	16.2	18.8	-2.59	16.1	16.6	-0.51
Peja Stojakovic	50	50	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	2	8	16.9	18.9	-1.96	15.9	17.1	-1.21
Jose Juan Barea	30	30	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.14	7	5	2	15.7	18.8	-3.15	17.3	15.9	1.40
Jason Terry	60	60	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.02	10	2	8	17.4	18.5	-1.15	15.9	17.4	-1.47
Jason Kidd	58	57	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	6	0	18.7	15.5	3.26	15.9	17.3	-1.37
DeShawn Stevenson	22	21	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	11	-10	18.7	17.4	1.32	17.5	16.0	1.48
Brian Cardinal	3	2	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.07	0	12	-12	9.3	18.0	-8.68	6.0	16.6	-10.62
Tyson Chandler	48	47	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.05	3	9	-6	18.8	16.2	2.59	16.6	16.1	0.51
Shawn Marion	45	45	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.06	-2	14	-16	18.7	16.6	2.14	16.8	15.8	1.02
Corey Brewer	8	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	13	-14	15.0	18.0	-2.99	12.9	16.7	-3.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.68,0.75,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.71,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 73, PHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.67,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.6,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.1%
ORL 103, TOR 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.42,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.98,0.97,1,1,1	93.2%
ATL 100, DEN 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1	93.1%