inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 100 Excitement5.9 [616] MVPRaef LaFrentz (DEN): +12.1%
Denver Nuggets 115 Comeback2.0 [441] LVPNick Van Exel (DEN): -12.4%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jim Jackson0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.01-0.042040%0.0100.0000%0.00
Bimbo Coles-0.010,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.011148%0.011-0.021100%0.00
Chris Crawford-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.00350%-0.001-0.022100%0.02
Jason Terry-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.010.031060%0.002-0.0300%0.00
Roshown McLeod-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.02233%-0.0310.002100%0.01
Alan Henderson-0.040,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.001046%-0.0400.00862%-0.01
Lorenzen Wright-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.00050%-0.021-0.03250%-0.02
Isaiah Rider-0.070,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.070.05-0.060.061764%0.002-0.071080%-0.03
Dikembe Mutombo-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.03-0.01957%0.004-0.09560%-0.02

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.120.050.051863%0.1200.002100%0.00
James Posey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.050.05-0.00573%0.1000.00560%-0.02
Keon Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.050.00757%0.0800.0000%0.00
Ron Mercer0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.030.06-0.031947%0.112-0.042100%0.04
George McCloud0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.01-0.01-0.02939%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cory Alexander0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Roy Rogers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Ryan Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.010.02554%-0.001-0.043100%0.02
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.030.011253%-0.001-0.04667%-0.00
Nick Van Exel0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.01-0.070.041855%-0.033-0.09683%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.329.215.625.52.330.7128.8
league avg26.02.228.816.526.32.233.7137.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +28.7%
DEN +0.6%
DEN +15.3%
DEN +5.0%
DEN +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLDENNBAATLDENNBA
this game14.516.615.2108.7123.7101.7
season15.414.899.3101.5
opponent15.015.2103.7105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL13.315.716.712.914.5
DEN15.016.316.818.416.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bimbo Coles4849-0.14-0.360.22-0.05-3-12915.114.01.0915.717.6-1.96
Roshown McLeod2625-0.16-0.340.19-0.01-5-10514.514.5-0.0115.517.0-1.45
Lorenzen Wright1919-0.20-0.300.11-0.02-6-9313.814.7-0.9515.416.9-1.52
Chris Crawford2624-0.23-0.270.05-0.08-5-10514.314.7-0.3816.316.7-0.39
Alan Henderson6871-0.24-0.260.010.02-9-6-314.714.00.7916.716.30.40
Jim Jackson7778-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.03-9-6-314.614.30.3316.716.10.53
Dikembe Mutombo7374-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.04-9-6-314.713.80.9516.915.41.52
Jason Terry4545-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.03-12-3-913.815.3-1.5017.216.01.24
Isaiah Rider7880-0.570.07-0.63-0.07-172-1914.514.6-0.1217.013.83.27

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keon Clark46440.57-0.070.640.1016-11716.816.40.4014.914.20.70
Nick Van Exel83820.54-0.040.580.0417-21916.616.7-0.1314.415.9-1.52
Ryan Bowen50500.470.030.43-0.0919-42316.816.30.4313.216.2-2.99
Raef LaFrentz74730.370.130.230.07105517.015.11.8514.215.7-1.50
Ron Mercer67650.280.220.070.14510-517.314.82.4615.013.31.71
James Posey27290.150.35-0.20-0.0269-316.016.8-0.8214.514.6-0.09
Roy Rogers13120.140.36-0.230.02411-715.516.8-1.3015.114.50.62
George McCloud48460.070.43-0.350.10-116-1715.917.3-1.3715.114.01.17
Cory Alexander1010-0.040.54-0.580.02-217-1916.716.60.1315.914.41.52
Antonio McDyess4749-0.050.55-0.59-0.08114-1315.917.3-1.3514.814.30.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 98, NOH 1080.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.81,0.7,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,194.3%
ORL 97, NYK 1130.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,193.9%
HOU 80, MIA 1010.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,193.6%