NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	98		Excitement	5.7 [640]		MVP	Chris Paul (NOH): +16.8%
New Orleans Hornets	108		Comeback	1.8 [473]		LVP	Ronny Turiaf (LAL): -12.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.14	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.19,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.15	0.03	0.04	23	61%	0.22	3	-0.09	13	92%	0.05
Jordan Farmar	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.03	12	46%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	10	57%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	12	54%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Luke Walton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	7	36%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	13	38%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	7	6%	-0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.07	-0.04	19	54%	0.20	2	-0.04	12	58%	-0.02
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.00	0.05	-0.06	6	75%	0.14	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.05	-0.03	9	70%	0.16	3	-0.07	2	0%	-0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	55%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
David West	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.03	10	50%	0.08	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Ryan Bowen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	58%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	44%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	0.06	16	47%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.8	26.2	16.4	30.1	1.8	33.4	131.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +49.0%

LAL -9.9%

NOH +14.0%

LAL -4.3%

NOH +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NOH	NBA	LAL	NOH	NBA
this game	14.8	15.5	15.4	103.2	113.7	105.7
season	14.6	15.9		110.6	109.6
opponent	15.7	15.2		104.0	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.2	16.5	17.7	13.7	14.8
NOH	14.5	17.8	15.8	14.5	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	7	7	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.01	1	-11	12	11.1	15.1	-3.97	12.4	15.7	-3.31
Derek Fisher	57	58	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.17	3	-13	16	12.6	18.1	-5.47	14.9	16.4	-1.54
Vladimir Radmanovic	67	69	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.16	2	-12	14	13.8	17.2	-3.34	15.3	15.9	-0.59
Sasha Vujacic	31	30	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.03	-10	0	-10	18.7	12.9	5.77	16.2	15.2	0.98
Luke Walton	37	36	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.13	-7	-3	-4	17.4	13.2	4.14	16.4	14.9	1.53
Ronny Turiaf	62	62	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	4	-18	15.9	12.8	3.12	16.5	13.5	2.99
Lamar Odom	84	84	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.19	-7	-3	-4	14.1	20.0	-5.86	15.4	16.1	-0.67
Jordan Farmar	52	51	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.19	-8	-2	-6	15.8	13.7	2.09	15.2	15.8	-0.56
Kobe Bryant	78	78	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	0	-10	14.1	18.2	-4.09	15.1	17.4	-2.26

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	86	85	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.20	12	-2	14	15.2	18.0	-2.77	14.6	17.1	-2.55
David West	73	74	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.13	13	-3	16	15.9	14.1	1.77	15.0	14.2	0.75
Peja Stojakovic	74	73	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	1	8	15.0	17.3	-2.36	13.7	18.5	-4.79
Jannero Pargo	44	44	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	5	0	15.3	15.7	-0.37	16.1	13.7	2.32
Tyson Chandler	76	74	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.29	0	10	-10	15.3	16.4	-1.16	14.2	17.0	-2.86
Melvin Ely	19	21	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.09	10	0	10	16.4	15.3	1.16	17.0	14.2	2.86
Julian Wright	38	38	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	11	-12	15.4	15.5	-0.12	15.4	14.4	0.96
Bonzi Wells	32	32	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	8	-6	16.4	15.0	1.37	15.2	14.6	0.55
Morris Peterson	28	29	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	9	-8	15.6	15.5	0.11	13.3	15.5	-2.17
Ryan Bowen	5	5	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	11	-12	17.8	15.4	2.43	24.2	14.3	9.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.81,0.7,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 99, TOR 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.62,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
NYK 83, NJN 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.99,1,0.98,1	94.5%
ATL 100, DEN 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.35,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1	94.3%