NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	88		Excitement	6.8 [472]		MVP	Chris Paul (NOH): +22.0%
New Orleans Hornets	93		Comeback	2.2 [250]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -17.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Blake	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.03	0.01	10	73%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Pau Gasol	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	11	55%	0.03	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.05
Derek Fisher	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.01	7	62%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Shannon Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	7	33%	-0.01	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Kobe Bryant	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.17,-0.18	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	18	38%	-0.09	2	-0.09	9	78%	-0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.08	0.13	-0.01	14	69%	0.37	5	-0.15	11	100%	0.10
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.00	-0.03	11	62%	0.14	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.07	0.00	3	50%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	87%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0	0.00	-0.04	0.05	0.00	6	31%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	7	43%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	17	50%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	11	32%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	3.6	29.2	19.6	30.2	3.5	50.2	162.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +28.1%

NOH +15.6%

NOH +3.6%

NOH +4.4%

LAL -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	NOH	NBA	LAL	NOH	NBA
this game	16.7	17.6	15.5	106.0	109.4	105.7
season	15.9	16.2		108.8	104.6
opponent	15.9	15.5		104.4	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	19.9	15.8	14.4	16.7	16.7
NOH	15.3	18.5	20.6	16.0	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bynum	60	59	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-8	11	17.0	15.9	1.15	18.5	15.5	2.94
Steve Blake	22	23	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-3	1	19.5	15.7	3.81	18.2	17.3	0.88
Matt Barnes	19	19	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.11	-2	-3	1	20.8	15.5	5.37	19.8	16.9	2.85
Metta World Peace	63	64	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.23	-1	-4	3	15.5	20.3	-4.81	16.9	19.7	-2.78
Kobe Bryant	67	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.24	-1	-4	3	15.3	22.4	-7.03	17.4	18.3	-0.96
Shannon Brown	17	20	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.13	-6	1	-7	21.7	15.4	6.30	18.3	17.3	1.01
Derek Fisher	61	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-2	-1	15.7	19.5	-3.81	17.3	18.2	-0.88
Pau Gasol	64	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.28	-5	0	-5	16.2	18.3	-2.10	17.0	19.7	-2.71
Lamar Odom	42	45	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.29	-8	3	-11	17.0	16.4	0.56	17.3	17.9	-0.61

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Jack	24	21	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.28	10	-5	15	17.2	17.7	-0.57	16.0	17.0	-1.00
Chris Paul	76	75	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.30	9	-4	13	17.7	16.6	1.14	16.9	15.1	1.74
Carl Landry	67	65	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.36	1	4	-3	18.0	16.2	1.79	17.8	12.7	5.08
Trevor Ariza	76	75	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.28	1	4	-3	17.1	21.4	-4.33	16.3	20.7	-4.48
Emeka Okafor	59	58	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.24	1	4	-3	17.0	18.8	-1.77	15.6	19.2	-3.52
DJ Mbenga	9	10	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	1	3	16.2	17.7	-1.51	19.9	16.3	3.64
Jason Smith	8	6	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.02	6	-1	7	17.2	17.6	-0.36	15.3	16.8	-1.47
Willie Green	23	22	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	8	-11	17.6	17.6	0.04	18.6	16.0	2.57
Marco Belinelli	56	56	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.07	-2	7	-9	18.2	16.4	1.82	16.6	16.9	-0.34
Aaron Gray	27	27	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	7	-9	18.4	17.2	1.16	15.4	17.3	-1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.67,0.58,0.73,0.87,0.91,0.78,0.69,0.78,0.91,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 96, DAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.86,0.75,0.88,0.99,0.95,1	92.3%
MIA 94, PHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.73,0.79,0.65,0.67,0.55,0.85,0.97,1,1	92.1%
NOP 110, OKC 118	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.62,0.63,0.73,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.72,0.85,0.99,1	92.0%