NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	96		Excitement	7.2 [360]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +28.4%
Dallas Mavericks	101		Comeback	3.0 [467]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -18.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09	0.13	0.01	0.05	11	84%	0.20	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.03
Metta World Peace	0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.02	0.02	8	72%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jordan Farmar	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	9	55%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Derek Fisher	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	13	40%	0.04	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.04
Andrew Bynum	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	8	62%	0.04	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18	-0.06	-0.11	0.01	23	42%	-0.10	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.28	0.28	0.16	0.15	0.02	19	63%	0.32	1	-0.03	11	100%	0.08
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.03	0.01	20	65%	0.25	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.04
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.07	0.01	12	54%	0.13	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.01	0.02	6	69%	0.08	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	5	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rodrigue Beaubois	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	11	43%	0.02	5	-0.13	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	3.6	33.1	19.6	28.3	4.3	41.4	153.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +9.8%

DAL +13.0%

DAL +17.7%

DAL +9.4%

DAL +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DAL	NBA	LAL	DAL	NBA
this game	15.8	15.1	15.3	104.3	107.4	106.0
season	15.7	15.2		107.9	107.2
opponent	15.5	15.1		104.6	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	18.8	13.3	15.3	16.6	15.8
DAL	15.5	13.4	16.7	15.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Farmar	28	29	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-5	5	12.6	17.2	-4.64	13.9	15.7	-1.85
Shannon Brown	32	33	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-3	1	12.7	17.5	-4.73	13.9	15.8	-1.89
Andrew Bynum	54	54	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-3	1	17.4	13.6	3.76	15.0	15.3	-0.24
Pau Gasol	62	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.22	-5	0	-5	15.8	15.8	0.01	15.6	14.1	1.55
Kobe Bryant	73	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.31	-3	-2	-1	16.7	12.5	4.17	15.7	13.1	2.57
Derek Fisher	64	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.32	-5	0	-5	17.2	12.6	4.64	15.7	13.9	1.85
Lamar Odom	68	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	-2	-1	14.6	19.3	-4.73	14.8	16.2	-1.39
Metta World Peace	79	82	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.39	-5	0	-5	16.3	13.1	3.21	15.1	15.2	-0.13

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	81	80	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.29	10	-5	15	15.2	15.0	0.16	16.0	14.5	1.54
Brendan Haywood	72	72	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.37	6	-1	7	15.7	13.5	2.20	16.5	13.3	3.18
Shawn Marion	84	81	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.39	2	3	-1	15.0	16.7	-1.75	15.9	15.2	0.74
Jason Terry	68	68	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	2	1	15.0	15.5	-0.55	14.6	19.3	-4.73
Jason Kidd	75	75	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.35	1	4	-3	15.6	13.5	2.09	16.5	12.8	3.70
DeShawn Stevenson	44	42	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	1	3	15.3	15.0	0.25	17.5	14.4	3.06
Jose Juan Barea	9	9	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	4	-3	18.1	14.8	3.29	14.2	16.0	-1.79
Rodrigue Beaubois	13	12	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	4	-3	10.8	15.8	-4.98	12.7	16.3	-3.65
Eduardo Najera	24	21	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	8	-11	14.2	15.4	-1.19	13.1	16.6	-3.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.5,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.86,0.75,0.88,0.99,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 83, IND 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.47,0.59,0.76,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.95,1	92.8%
CHI 104, BOS 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.35,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.33,0.46,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.89,1,1	92.4%
LAL 88, NOH 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.49,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.67,0.58,0.73,0.87,0.91,0.78,0.69,0.78,0.91,0.92,1	92.3%