NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	105		Excitement	7.8 [241]		MVP	Andre Miller (POR): +30.2%
Phoenix Suns	100		Comeback	2.6 [200]		LVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): -15.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0.30	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.18,0.13,0.26,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.3	0.14	0.20	0.04	17	70%	0.38	3	-0.07	10	100%	0.07
Jerryd Bayless	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.24,0.18	0.10	0.10	0.02	10	62%	0.18	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.02
Nicolas Batum	0.16	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.06	0.01	13	64%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rudy Fernandez	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	36%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	6	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	6	29%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	20	46%	0.07	5	-0.15	8	75%	0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.10	0.00	5	50%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.09	0.09	0.11	-0.02	0.00	18	66%	0.20	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	8	67%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	12	48%	0.07	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	8	81%	0.10	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	7	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	9	22%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.06	0.02	19	44%	0.04	4	-0.19	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.6	32.1	20.4	29.4	2.7	50.8	164.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +26.9%

POR +6.8%

POR +0.9%

POR +15.9%

PHX -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHX	NBA	POR	PHX	NBA
this game	15.8	15.4	15.3	114.1	107.5	106.0
season	16.7	14.4		108.8	113.5
opponent	15.5	15.6		109.0	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.8	18.1	16.1	14.3	15.8
PHX	15.8	16.1	16.6	13.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	72	74	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.35	15	-10	25	14.9	18.7	-3.77	16.0	12.9	3.07
LaMarcus Aldridge	76	79	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.32	10	-5	15	16.2	13.6	2.57	15.5	14.9	0.62
Marcus Camby	71	72	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.33	8	-3	11	15.2	17.6	-2.36	16.1	12.8	3.33
Andre Miller	77	79	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.36	7	-2	9	15.4	17.7	-2.37	15.6	14.4	1.21
Jerryd Bayless	46	45	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.35	2	3	-1	16.1	15.4	0.63	13.4	17.2	-3.81
Rudy Fernandez	52	53	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.08	7	-2	9	15.9	15.6	0.27	16.4	14.0	2.35
Dante Cunningham	1	0	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	8	-11	2.0	15.9	-13.90	0.0	15.4	-15.39
Juwan Howard	25	25	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.01	-5	10	-15	18.4	14.7	3.69	14.0	15.9	-1.90
Martell Webster	40	38	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	0.12	-16	21	-37	16.2	15.4	0.84	14.0	16.3	-2.35

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	30	32	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.08	9	-14	23	13.6	16.2	-2.59	17.8	14.7	3.11
Lou Amundson	31	34	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.00	4	-9	13	14.8	15.7	-0.87	18.6	14.1	4.55
Goran Dragic	24	24	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-8	11	14.7	15.6	-0.97	20.9	13.9	6.93
Jared Dudley	47	49	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.27	7	-12	19	13.3	17.6	-4.31	15.9	15.6	0.36
Jarron Collins	23	20	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-1	-3	17.7	14.6	3.07	14.8	16.0	-1.21
Grant Hill	52	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.17	-5	0	-5	16.4	14.1	2.22	13.9	17.9	-3.96
Channing Frye	61	61	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.40	-2	-3	1	14.2	17.7	-3.55	15.4	16.5	-1.16
Steve Nash	69	68	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.32	-8	3	-11	15.6	14.7	0.97	13.9	20.9	-6.93
Amar'e Stoudemire	63	60	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.21	-16	11	-27	17.1	11.7	5.39	16.7	14.0	2.73
Jason Richardson	65	62	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.31	-13	8	-21	15.9	14.2	1.63	14.2	18.9	-4.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.55,0.61,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.43,0.58,0.72,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.32,0.22,0.22,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 84, VAN 75	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.04,0	93.0%
IND 92, CLE 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.43,0.57,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.53,0.19,0.37,0.22,0.08,0	91.9%
SAC 101, DEN 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.05,0	91.9%