NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	72		Excitement	8.7 [133]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): +35.1%
Boston Celtics	76		Comeback	2.5 [639]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -86.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.32	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.32	0.02	0.30	-0.00	18	52%	0.37	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Sasha Pavlovic	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.06	0.11	-0.00	3	78%	0.17	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Daniel Gibson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.10	0.00	6	50%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	0.05	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.02	-0.02	14	45%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Joe Smith	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.13	-0.10	0.00	10	20%	-0.15	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.86	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26,-0.26,-0.3,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.37,-0.37,-0.32,-0.43,-0.43,-0.51,-0.51,-0.86	-0.36	-0.51	-0.01	18	26%	-0.52	10	-0.34	10	80%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.35	0.35	0.11	0.24	0.00	22	61%	0.38	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.33	0.33	0.08	0.25	-0.00	8	65%	0.33	0	0.00	4	75%	0.05
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	4	80%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	8	68%	0.12	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.02
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	4	70%	0.08	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Allen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	12%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.05	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27,-0.31,-0.31,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4	-0.40	-0.27	-0.15	-0.02	14	14%	-0.20	6	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.7	36.0	19.7	30.0	3.0	40.4	159.0
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +57.3%

BOS +4.7%

BOS +8.1%

CLE -19.8%

CLE -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BOS	NBA	CLE	BOS	NBA
this game	16.7	14.3	15.4	78.3	80.9	105.7
season	16.4	15.6		104.0	108.0
opponent	15.9	15.2		98.3	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.0	16.4	17.3	18.3	16.7
BOS	14.3	13.6	14.8	14.6	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	59	61	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-7	10	17.4	15.5	1.90	14.6	13.9	0.68
Delonte West	64	65	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-4	4	18.0	13.7	4.20	14.6	13.8	0.76
Wally Szczerbiak	61	63	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.28	5	-9	14	16.8	16.5	0.24	14.3	14.3	0.09
Anderson Varejao	21	21	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.09	-2	-2	0	15.9	16.9	-1.00	14.2	14.3	-0.10
Sasha Pavlovic	29	28	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	1	-6	16.0	17.0	-0.93	14.3	14.3	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	71	72	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.35	4	-8	12	16.9	16.0	0.93	14.6	13.5	1.07
Daniel Gibson	47	49	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.34	-5	1	-6	15.7	17.6	-1.90	14.1	14.5	-0.37
LeBron James	75	78	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.35	-7	3	-10	16.4	17.9	-1.48	14.1	15.5	-1.42
Joe Smith	33	33	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.24	-13	9	-22	15.4	17.4	-2.04	13.7	14.7	-0.96

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	34	33	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.67	4	0	4	14.9	14.0	0.88	18.1	15.9	2.21
James Posey	49	48	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.17	17	-13	30	14.6	14.0	0.57	17.2	16.1	1.12
Kevin Garnett	78	76	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.29	7	-3	10	14.4	13.7	0.69	17.1	14.6	2.48
Kendrick Perkins	68	66	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.33	0	4	-4	14.6	13.6	0.97	17.3	15.2	2.12
Leon Powe	27	25	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.12	7	-3	10	14.7	14.1	0.59	15.6	17.1	-1.47
Tony Allen	11	10	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	-3	10	12.4	14.6	-2.21	15.1	16.9	-1.77
Ray Allen	72	69	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.22	0	4	-4	14.4	14.2	0.18	17.3	14.8	2.52
Paul Pierce	58	58	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.42	-14	18	-32	14.0	14.9	-0.88	15.5	18.6	-3.08
Glen Davis	7	9	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	5	-6	14.0	14.3	-0.34	14.7	16.9	-2.22
P.J. Brown	7	8	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	9	-14	10.6	14.6	-4.05	13.2	17.0	-3.75
Rajon Rondo	59	58	-0.47	0.97	-1.44	-0.41	-2	6	-8	14.2	14.5	-0.22	16.1	17.7	-1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.54,0.57,0.67,0.42,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.57,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 110, HOU 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.56,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.63,0.56,0.58,1	91.3%
IND 69, BOS 71	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.34,0.34,0.27,0.32,0.54,0.65,0.75,0.76,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.26,1	91.0%
UTA 75, POR 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.67,0.81,0.7,0.65,0.54,0.86,0.79,0.66,0.73,1	90.8%