NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	107		Excitement	6.0 [586]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +23.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	122		Comeback	1.6 [1014]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): -8.8%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.02	12	66%	0.13	1	-0.02	8	87%	-0.00
Allen Iverson	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	21	56%	0.14	3	-0.08	13	77%	0.01
Steven Hunter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yakhouba Diawara	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	10	45%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04
Nene	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eduardo Najera	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	20	49%	0.03	3	-0.07	7	86%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	6	43%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.37	0.03	0.17	27	78%	0.28	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.03
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.09	-0.00	11	72%	0.25	3	-0.08	3	67%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.03	-0.04	6	75%	0.13	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	11	56%	0.11	2	-0.04	10	60%	-0.03
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Coby Karl	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	10	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	9	22%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	3.6	32.4	19.4	29.7	3.0	38.2	153.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +31.7%

LAL +2.6%

DEN -3.1%

LAL +16.8%

LAL +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	LAL	NBA	DEN	LAL	NBA
this game	13.5	15.2	15.4	105.9	122.0	105.7
season	13.3	14.6		108.2	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.2		104.1	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	13.2	15.6	13.4	12.0	13.5
LAL	14.5	15.0	15.4	15.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenyon Martin	52	51	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.07	4	-19	23	13.6	13.4	0.13	16.8	13.4	3.37
Steven Hunter	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-19	23	7.7	13.7	-6.01	18.0	15.1	2.92
Yakhouba Diawara	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-16	17	8.5	13.8	-5.31	14.3	15.2	-0.95
Linas Kleiza	73	73	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	-10	5	13.5	13.6	-0.11	15.0	15.7	-0.73
Anthony Carter	19	18	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-14	13	13.9	13.4	0.49	15.1	15.2	-0.07
Nene	14	13	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	-7	-1	16.9	12.9	3.99	15.9	15.1	0.87
Marcus Camby	76	75	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-9	3	13.3	14.0	-0.67	14.6	16.8	-2.17
Carmelo Anthony	64	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	0	-15	13.9	12.8	1.04	15.4	14.8	0.53
Allen Iverson	88	86	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.00	-14	-1	-13	13.4	14.1	-0.67	15.3	14.3	1.03
J.R. Smith	62	61	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	1	-17	13.3	13.8	-0.53	14.6	16.0	-1.36
Eduardo Najera	48	48	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.06	-19	4	-23	13.5	13.5	-0.03	14.5	15.8	-1.29

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Walton	62	62	0.63	-0.13	0.75	-0.08	24	-9	33	15.0	15.5	-0.49	12.7	14.7	-1.99
Sasha Vujacic	43	44	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.01	15	0	15	15.0	15.3	-0.34	13.5	13.5	0.01
Kobe Bryant	88	88	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	2	11	15.0	16.4	-1.42	13.7	12.2	1.45
Pau Gasol	88	88	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	1	13	15.1	15.4	-0.28	13.3	14.8	-1.55
Jordan Farmar	38	39	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.21	4	11	-7	15.0	15.3	-0.27	13.4	13.6	-0.22
Derek Fisher	62	62	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.15	11	4	7	15.3	15.0	0.27	13.6	13.4	0.22
DJ Mbenga	12	13	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	14	-13	15.4	15.1	0.28	14.8	13.3	1.55
Vladimir Radmanovic	52	53	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.10	-1	16	-17	15.9	14.4	1.49	14.6	12.3	2.29
Ira Newble	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	18.0	15.1	2.92	7.5	13.6	-6.12
Coby Karl	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	19	-23	16.2	15.1	1.08	7.4	13.8	-6.41
Lamar Odom	47	49	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	15	-15	14.8	15.5	-0.64	13.8	13.2	0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.82,0.88,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.89,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 76, PHX 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.73,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.6%
POR 92, PHX 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.72,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.91,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.4%
POR 106, CHI 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.82,0.75,0.77,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,1,0.96,1	93.3%