NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	92		Excitement	5.9 [665]		MVP	Grant Hill (PHX): +17.0%
Phoenix Suns	102		Comeback	1.4 [875]		LVP	Travis Outlaw (POR): -10.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Blake	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.06	-0.00	16	65%	0.21	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	6	56%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Brandon Roy	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.05	-0.03	0.02	23	52%	0.04	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Greg Oden	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.04
Nicolas Batum	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	14	44%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Joel Przybilla	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	9	17%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.03	0.04	9	39%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.07	0.09	-0.01	11	62%	0.17	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	9	50%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	6	71%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	12	59%	0.07	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	100%	0.20	8	-0.19	2	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.01	14	47%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	0.00
Sean Singletary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.03	12	59%	0.06	4	-0.11	8	37%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	30.2	16.3	22.5	2.7	36.2	133.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +57.7%

PHX +0.5%

PHX +9.4%

POR -18.7%

PHX +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHX	NBA	POR	PHX	NBA
this game	17.1	15.5	15.5	105.7	113.3	106.4
season	16.7	14.1		111.0	112.1
opponent	15.5	16.0		109.9	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	19.6	18.0	16.0	15.0	17.1
PHX	15.6	12.8	15.3	18.4	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	26	26	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.04	5	-15	20	17.3	17.0	0.27	16.7	15.0	1.74
Joel Przybilla	51	51	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.22	9	-19	28	17.1	17.1	-0.04	16.3	14.4	1.94
Sergio Rodriguez	11	13	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-6	2	20.6	16.6	4.03	14.1	15.7	-1.61
Steve Blake	70	70	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-8	6	16.6	19.1	-2.49	16.1	13.2	2.90
Channing Frye	30	31	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.07	-6	-4	-2	17.2	17.1	0.08	15.9	15.2	0.63
LaMarcus Aldridge	59	62	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.19	-2	-8	6	16.5	18.5	-2.04	15.0	16.4	-1.36
Brandon Roy	78	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.21	-5	-5	0	16.6	21.6	-4.95	15.5	15.3	0.14
Rudy Fernandez	49	51	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.11	-12	2	-14	17.2	17.1	0.11	15.4	15.5	-0.10
Travis Outlaw	37	42	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.09	-14	4	-18	17.3	17.0	0.27	14.0	16.7	-2.73
Greg Oden	24	26	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.04	-19	9	-28	19.6	16.2	3.47	14.4	15.9	-1.45

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	64	62	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.12	17	-7	24	15.4	15.7	-0.28	17.5	16.2	1.23
Shaquille O'Neal	68	67	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.15	11	-1	12	15.1	16.5	-1.38	17.2	16.8	0.34
Steve Nash	75	74	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.17	9	1	8	15.0	17.5	-2.49	17.1	17.0	0.14
Amar'e Stoudemire	75	71	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.18	5	5	0	15.4	15.9	-0.57	17.1	17.0	0.14
Boris Diaw	49	47	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	4	2	15.3	15.6	-0.24	16.8	17.5	-0.67
Grant Hill	49	46	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	7	-4	15.5	15.4	0.12	16.5	17.8	-1.30
Matt Barnes	55	55	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	12	-14	16.1	14.4	1.77	17.4	16.7	0.68
Sean Singletary	15	13	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.04	1	9	-8	17.5	15.0	2.49	17.0	17.1	-0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.59,0.72,0.84,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.91,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 92, MIA 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.66,0.72,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.9,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.91,1	93.8%
DEN 107, LAL 122	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.82,0.88,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.89,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%
CHI 112, POR 124	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.69,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%