NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	90		Excitement	8.0 [229]		MVP	Reggie Evans (PHI): +21.6%
Detroit Pistons	86		Comeback	11.4 [16]		LVP	Samuel Dalembert (PHI): -36.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Evans	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22	0.06	0.16	-0.00	6	69%	0.22	0	0.00	4	75%	0.03
Thaddeus Young	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	8	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.02	11	68%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Jason Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	1	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Rodney Carney	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	18	50%	0.16	4	-0.16	4	50%	-0.03
Lou Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	12	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Andre Iguodala	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.03	-0.00	15	40%	-0.03	4	-0.12	10	80%	-0.03
Samuel Dalembert	-0.36	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.36	-0.11	-0.24	0.02	10	24%	-0.13	2	-0.23	1	100%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	8	75%	0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	-0.01	9	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.05
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.08	-0.08	0.03	-0.08	0.02	21	52%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.05
Antonio McDyess	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	9	29%	-0.07	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.12	0.01	13	43%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Richard Hamilton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2	-0.20	-0.15	-0.09	-0.05	17	34%	-0.14	4	-0.06	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.7	28.1	24.5	27.4	3.7	45.2	158.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +57.8%

DET -3.0%

PHI +22.1%

DET -26.8%

DET -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	15.6	18.0	15.4	103.4	101.2	105.7
season	15.2	16.8		104.0	108.8
opponent	15.8	16.2		101.3	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.5	18.3	15.2	12.6	15.6
DET	17.8	16.8	20.0	17.4	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Evans	58	55	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.52	5	-1	6	15.1	16.5	-1.43	17.9	18.1	-0.28
Andre Miller	81	80	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.31	11	-7	18	15.1	21.3	-6.20	17.9	18.0	-0.05
Andre Iguodala	83	81	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.39	5	-1	6	15.6	14.0	1.64	18.1	15.0	3.10
Jason Smith	16	16	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.00	9	-5	14	12.4	16.3	-3.83	20.7	17.3	3.37
Thaddeus Young	42	40	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.15	3	1	2	15.4	15.7	-0.31	17.8	18.0	-0.19
Samuel Dalembert	60	60	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.39	-6	10	-16	16.5	13.5	2.96	17.1	19.9	-2.79
Lou Williams	43	41	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.23	-3	7	-10	15.2	15.9	-0.70	16.6	19.2	-2.64
Willie Green	46	47	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.14	3	1	2	16.4	14.6	1.76	19.2	16.4	2.82
Rodney Carney	6	5	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.07	-7	11	-18	21.3	15.1	6.20	18.0	17.9	0.05

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarvis Hayes	9	10	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.07	6	-10	16	15.3	18.3	-2.93	19.2	15.1	4.11
Antonio McDyess	34	35	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.04	1	-5	6	19.2	17.1	2.04	16.3	15.1	1.16
Rodney Stuckey	24	25	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-7	10	16.5	18.5	-2.08	14.9	15.8	-0.96
Lindsey Hunter	20	21	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.14	0	-4	4	18.3	17.8	0.52	15.8	15.5	0.26
Theo Ratliff	11	10	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.08	-6	2	-8	20.6	17.6	3.08	11.4	16.1	-4.70
Jason Maxiell	52	55	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-6	8	17.1	19.4	-2.31	16.0	14.8	1.24
Richard Hamilton	70	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.29	-6	2	-8	18.0	17.9	0.02	15.3	16.6	-1.22
Rasheed Wallace	72	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.33	-5	1	-6	17.8	18.9	-1.15	15.7	15.1	0.59
Tayshaun Prince	71	72	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.27	-8	4	-12	18.2	16.9	1.31	15.2	17.2	-1.98
Chauncey Billups	62	63	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.31	-7	3	-10	18.3	16.9	1.43	15.6	15.5	0.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.81,0.91,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.16,0.22,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 112, LAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.87,0.79,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.53,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.21,0.03,0.04,0	92.4%
DET 104, POR 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.25,0.15,0.02,0,0	91.8%
MIN 94, SAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.02,0	91.7%