NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	112		Excitement	7.8 [297]		MVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): +30.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	111		Comeback	13.0 [56]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): -13.8%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Rubio	0.31	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.31	0.17	0.16	0.02	17	68%	0.33	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Kevin Martin	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11	0.10	0.01	0.01	15	55%	0.11	0	0.00	12	92%	0.05
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	10	64%	0.13	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Nemanja Bjelica	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	5	71%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Damjan Rudez	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Zach LaVine	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adreian Payne	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	10	35%	-0.10	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.00	0.01	8	87%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcelo Huertas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	2	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	10	100%	0.06
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	13	47%	0.02	1	-0.04	6	83%	-0.02
Ryan Kelly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	5	27%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	12	47%	-0.03	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Kobe Bryant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.04	-0.12	-0.00	24	45%	-0.08	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,-0.11	-0.11	0.08	-0.18	0.00	14	60%	-0.09	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.8	33.2	16.4	38.0	2.6	36.4	154.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +60.7%

MIN +3.5%

LAL -37.4%

MIN +19.2%

MIN +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAL	NBA	MIN	LAL	NBA
this game	15.1	14.0	14.9	114.3	111.0	105.1
season	14.8	15.2		104.8	100.1
opponent	14.5	15.0		109.9	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.4	16.5	13.7	14.8	15.1
LAL	14.0	14.8	13.5	14.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Rubio	65	67	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.36	12	-11	23	15.4	14.4	1.01	14.2	13.7	0.47
Andrew Wiggins	57	59	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.42	8	-7	15	15.4	14.6	0.73	14.6	13.2	1.43
Karl-Anthony Towns	64	66	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.47	6	-5	11	15.3	14.6	0.72	14.1	13.9	0.28
Kevin Garnett	26	26	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.17	12	-11	23	14.1	15.4	-1.29	14.9	13.7	1.19
Nemanja Bjelica	46	48	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.22	6	-5	11	14.6	15.5	-0.85	13.9	14.2	-0.28
Tayshaun Prince	30	30	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	-3	7	15.0	15.1	-0.14	15.1	13.6	1.56
Zach LaVine	42	42	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.28	-4	5	-9	14.4	15.6	-1.23	14.3	13.8	0.51
Adreian Payne	9	8	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	3	-5	16.6	14.9	1.65	11.4	14.3	-2.90
Shabazz Muhammad	41	41	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.05	-7	8	-15	14.6	15.4	-0.73	13.2	14.6	-1.43
Damjan Rudez	8	9	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.02	-7	8	-15	16.5	14.9	1.57	16.6	13.8	2.76
Kevin Martin	59	61	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.04	-10	11	-21	15.2	14.8	0.44	13.1	15.5	-2.33
Gorgui Dieng	43	43	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.04	-13	14	-27	15.2	15.0	0.18	13.5	14.5	-0.97

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Young	41	42	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.09	5	-6	11	13.6	14.3	-0.69	14.4	15.6	-1.15
Brandon Bass	37	37	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-3	5	14.3	13.9	0.45	14.3	15.5	-1.23
D'Angelo Russell	55	53	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.20	-9	8	-17	14.4	13.6	0.76	14.4	15.9	-1.49
Marcelo Huertas	25	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.00	-3	2	-5	16.0	13.4	2.56	15.3	15.0	0.34
Julius Randle	62	60	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.30	2	-3	5	13.7	14.5	-0.78	15.5	14.3	1.17
Jordan Clarkson	62	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.52	7	-8	15	13.3	15.3	-2.02	15.7	14.0	1.69
Ryan Kelly	45	44	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.40	2	-3	5	13.7	14.3	-0.56	14.6	15.5	-0.89
Roy Hibbert	56	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.14	-8	7	-15	14.4	13.5	0.88	15.5	14.5	0.94
Lou Williams	58	57	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.62	3	-4	7	13.7	14.5	-0.79	14.9	15.3	-0.40
Kobe Bryant	59	56	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.38	-6	5	-11	14.3	13.6	0.69	15.6	14.4	1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.87,0.79,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.86,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.73,0.53,0.41,0.39,0.32,0.21,0.03,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 104, POR 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.67,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.25,0.15,0.02,0,0	93.1%
PHI 90, DET 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.81,0.91,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.16,0.22,0.16,0	92.4%
MIN 113, LAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.8,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.4,0.46,0.16,0.02,0,0	92.2%