NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	92		Excitement	6.8 [418]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +33.6%
Atlanta Hawks	97		Comeback	7.4 [52]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (BOS): -17.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0.24	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.17	0.07	-0.01	14	75%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.04	0.02	7	62%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.07	16	41%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Kendrick Perkins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.09	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09	-0.04	-0.08	-0.02	14	50%	-0.02	3	-0.07	8	50%	-0.05
Kevin Garnett	-0.18	0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.19,-0.23,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	21	43%	-0.06	3	-0.12	4	50%	-0.04

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.31,0.34	0.34	0.11	0.22	-0.00	24	65%	0.44	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.05	0.03	16	62%	0.18	1	-0.03	13	92%	0.06
Mario West	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	67%	0.08	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.05	-0.07	0.03	8	75%	0.11	4	-0.15	8	75%	-0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.01	6	29%	-0.04	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	34.0	3.5	37.4	20.6	29.2	2.7	44.1	171.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +20.6%

ATL +29.7%

ATL +13.8%

BOS -22.5%

ATL +8.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ATL	NBA	BOS	ATL	NBA
this game	16.1	16.1	15.4	103.4	107.8	105.7
season	15.6	15.4		108.0	104.2
opponent	15.7	15.9		107.2	98.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.2	18.8	15.2	16.6	16.1
ATL	15.8	14.6	14.8	19.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rajon Rondo	68	69	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.21	7	-12	19	15.0	19.7	-4.64	15.6	17.7	-2.10
James Posey	34	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.11	-4	-1	-3	17.1	15.5	1.66	14.5	17.0	-2.45
Glen Davis	10	8	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	2	-9	20.3	15.6	4.71	15.1	16.1	-1.02
Sam Cassell	12	11	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-2	-1	18.5	15.8	2.75	16.7	16.0	0.77
Kendrick Perkins	48	49	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-3	1	15.4	17.0	-1.62	16.2	15.9	0.28
Kevin Garnett	75	79	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.48	7	-12	19	15.9	17.5	-1.63	16.2	14.7	1.51
Eddie House	10	10	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	6	-17	19.3	15.7	3.58	18.7	15.7	2.97
Leon Powe	39	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	2	-9	17.7	14.9	2.75	15.9	16.2	-0.32
Paul Pierce	66	67	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.62	3	-8	11	15.5	18.0	-2.47	16.7	14.2	2.53
Ray Allen	83	84	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.30	-8	3	-11	15.8	20.3	-4.51	16.1	15.7	0.42

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Childress	58	57	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.18	18	-13	31	16.1	16.0	0.04	17.0	14.5	2.49
Al Horford	83	81	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.35	6	-1	7	16.3	13.4	2.85	16.0	17.2	-1.24
Joe Johnson	86	84	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.34	6	-1	7	16.3	11.5	4.77	15.7	22.8	-7.07
Mike Bibby	78	79	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.33	2	3	-1	15.9	17.2	-1.28	15.2	23.2	-7.97
Josh Smith	71	69	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.43	-4	9	-13	16.2	15.6	0.60	15.5	18.1	-2.61
Zaza Pachulia	20	21	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	-3	11	15.2	16.3	-1.10	17.9	15.6	2.33
Acie Law	6	6	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	6	-7	15.7	16.1	-0.42	20.3	15.8	4.51
Solomon Jones	6	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	5	-5	14.3	16.2	-1.85	17.9	16.0	1.88
Marvin Williams	42	41	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.19	-10	15	-25	16.0	16.1	-0.15	16.8	15.5	1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.51,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.37,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.47,0.6,0.81,0.93,0.91,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 87, CHA 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.72,0.59,0.4,0.32,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.11,0.23,0.21,0.41,0.54,0.86,0.99,1,1,1	90.9%
LAC 92, DEN 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.46,0.42,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.54,0.4,0.61,0.83,0.9,0.96,1	90.1%
SAC 113, DAL 122	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.52,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.39,0.75,0.71,0.91,0.98,1	89.5%