NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	92		Excitement	7.5 [302]		MVP	Eric Piatkowski (LAC): +10.0%
Denver Nuggets	100		Comeback	8.2 [168]		LVP	Darrick Martin (LAC): -22.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Piatkowski	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.01	17	53%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pooh Richardson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.01	9	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	5	62%	0.06	1	-0.06	6	67%	0.01
Stojko Vrankovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	4	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Rodney Rogers	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.08	-0.03	12	60%	-0.01	5	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01
Lamond Murray	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	11	50%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
James Robinson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Keith Closs	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	-0.00	6	29%	-0.06	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Darrick Martin	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.08	-0.16	-0.01	7	33%	-0.08	2	-0.15	1	100%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Battie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	8	60%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	-0.04	9	62%	0.03	2	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Anthony Goldwire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	73%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Eric Washington	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	13	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	11	38%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	14	53%	0.07	5	-0.17	4	75%	0.02
Priest Lauderdale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	5	40%	-0.04	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.07
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	7	14%	-0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	1.7	23.0	15.6	23.2	2.4	35.3	126.3
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +13.3%

DEN +5.8%

DEN +20.8%

DEN +14.4%

LAC -4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DEN	NBA	LAC	DEN	NBA
this game	15.6	14.1	15.6	94.8	103.1	102.5
season	15.5	16.2		101.0	96.7
opponent	15.2	15.1		109.5	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.1	16.2	16.3	14.9	15.6
DEN	12.6	13.8	18.0	12.8	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Piatkowski	77	77	0.20	-0.70	0.91	0.09	4	-12	16	15.4	16.2	-0.78	15.1	10.2	4.87
Pooh Richardson	49	50	0.16	-0.66	0.81	0.10	2	-10	12	14.5	16.7	-2.16	15.5	12.7	2.82
Keith Closs	29	29	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.06	4	-12	16	16.0	15.4	0.65	12.8	14.7	-1.93
Lorenzen Wright	55	56	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.14	5	-13	18	14.8	16.6	-1.75	15.6	12.1	3.49
Stojko Vrankovic	55	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	-3	-2	16.3	14.6	1.69	15.4	12.5	2.91
Rodney Rogers	67	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-3	-2	15.6	15.5	0.16	14.6	13.1	1.47
Maurice Taylor	30	31	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	7	-22	16.5	15.2	1.34	12.8	14.7	-1.97
Darrick Martin	51	50	-0.66	0.16	-0.83	-0.37	-10	2	-12	16.0	15.1	0.93	12.0	16.4	-4.40
Lamond Murray	52	52	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.43	-8	0	-8	15.3	15.9	-0.54	12.9	15.5	-2.65
James Robinson	20	20	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.35	-12	4	-16	16.2	15.4	0.78	10.2	15.1	-4.87

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	76	76	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.30	17	-9	26	13.3	17.2	-3.93	15.0	17.6	-2.61
Priest Lauderdale	30	28	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.22	15	-7	22	13.8	14.2	-0.41	17.3	14.9	2.45
Tony Battie	48	51	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.52	2	6	-4	13.6	14.7	-1.09	15.0	16.2	-1.22
Johnny Newman	65	65	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.26	6	2	4	13.5	15.4	-1.93	15.6	15.6	0.02
Danny Fortson	34	32	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.11	3	5	-2	14.4	14.0	0.46	17.4	14.7	2.68
Dean Garrett	59	59	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	13	-18	15.2	12.4	2.87	15.1	16.4	-1.34
Eric Washington	61	62	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.12	0	8	-8	14.7	13.1	1.64	15.8	15.2	0.64
Anthony Goldwire	41	39	-0.44	0.94	-1.39	-0.18	-9	17	-26	15.0	13.4	1.62	15.9	15.4	0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.46,0.42,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.54,0.4,0.61,0.83,0.9,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 84, MIA 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.32,0.47,0.59,0.47,0.62,0.71,0.86,0.98,1	90.9%
MIN 88, POR 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.59,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.47,0.6,0.53,0.71,0.59,0.98,1	90.3%
SAS 111, DAL 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.43,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.8,0.93,0.9,0.9,1	90.2%