NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	87		Excitement	6.9 [455]		MVP	Marvin Williams (CHA): +14.8%
Charlotte Hornets	101		Comeback	8.4 [181]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -15.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Neal	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.00	0.00	13	64%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.05	-0.00	8	77%	0.15	2	-0.11	6	83%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Bradley Beal	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.03	-0.02	16	50%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	5	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	6	25%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	7	33%	-0.08	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.05
John Wall	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.05	-0.03	18	39%	-0.07	5	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.04	-0.02	7	87%	0.18	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.02	13	50%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.07	-0.01	15	48%	0.15	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	73%	0.12	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.06	12	64%	0.07	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.01
PJ Hairston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	4	56%	-0.00	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.15,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	17	47%	0.04	5	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	2.7	30.2	14.8	25.2	2.5	32.5	128.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +46.5%

CHA +11.9%

CHA +13.3%

WAS -20.1%

WAS -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHA	NBA	WAS	CHA	NBA
this game	14.2	14.9	14.9	87.9	102.0	105.1
season	13.8	15.1		104.1	105.5
opponent	14.8	15.1		103.6	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.8	14.4	12.8	14.8	14.2
CHA	14.6	13.8	16.0	15.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nene	37	35	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.17	-4	-10	6	14.6	13.9	0.66	13.7	15.6	-1.85
Garrett Temple	22	19	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.09	-3	-11	8	15.1	13.9	1.17	13.9	15.1	-1.19
Kris Humphries	37	37	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.09	3	-17	20	13.4	14.7	-1.28	14.2	15.3	-1.06
Ramon Sessions	27	25	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.12	-12	-2	-10	15.7	13.6	2.14	12.9	15.6	-2.71
Otto Porter	54	58	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	-5	-4	13.9	14.5	-0.52	15.2	14.6	0.59
John Wall	72	74	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-12	10	13.6	15.7	-2.14	15.6	12.9	2.71
Jared Dudley	50	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	-7	0	15.5	12.9	2.62	14.6	15.2	-0.56
Bradley Beal	77	79	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.16	-11	-3	-8	13.9	15.1	-1.17	15.3	13.5	1.70
Gary Neal	57	57	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.07	-15	1	-16	13.8	14.7	-0.92	15.2	14.5	0.63
Marcin Gortat	62	64	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.26	-10	-4	-6	13.9	14.6	-0.66	15.6	13.7	1.85

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Jefferson	61	61	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.37	11	3	8	15.5	14.0	1.52	14.2	14.2	-0.00
Nicolas Batum	71	70	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.20	16	-2	18	14.9	14.9	-0.03	13.9	14.8	-0.86
Marvin Williams	71	68	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.30	11	3	8	14.7	15.5	-0.77	14.0	14.5	-0.44
Jeremy Lamb	65	66	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.00	18	-4	22	14.6	15.5	-0.86	14.1	14.4	-0.36
Jeremy Lin	31	32	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.03	8	6	2	14.0	15.3	-1.37	15.0	13.8	1.21
Kemba Walker	83	84	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.00	5	9	-4	15.5	11.9	3.62	13.7	16.6	-2.85
Cody Zeller	44	45	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.33	11	3	8	14.2	15.5	-1.35	14.7	13.7	1.01
PJ Hairston	34	33	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	18	-22	15.5	14.6	0.86	14.4	14.1	0.36
Frank Kaminsky	35	36	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	-0.14	-6	20	-26	14.7	15.0	-0.26	14.5	14.0	0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.72,0.59,0.4,0.32,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.11,0.23,0.21,0.41,0.54,0.86,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 92, LAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.61,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.63,0.56,0.3,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.25,0.53,0.53,0.74,0.93,0.99,0.98,1	91.2%
BOS 92, ATL 97	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.51,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.37,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.47,0.6,0.81,0.93,0.91,0.91,1	90.9%
MIA 95, SAS 110	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.63,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.4,0.28,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.24,0.3,0.41,0.4,0.54,0.69,0.93,0.91,1,1	90.7%