inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 83 Excitement6.8 [486] MVPManu Ginobili (SAS): +16.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers 82 Comeback1.8 [681] LVPLeBron James (CLE): -42.7%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.170.090.100.021955%0.191-0.031173%-0.05
Fabricio Oberto0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.12,0.120.050.070.00564%0.1200.001100%0.01
Tony Parker0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.11-0.050.011473%0.163-0.12540%-0.04
Jacque Vaughn0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Francisco Elson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.001100%0.041-0.032100%0.01
Brent Barry-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.020.0000%0.001-0.0400%0.00
Michael Finley-0.050,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.00531%-0.0500.00367%0.00
Bruce Bowen-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.06-0.04-0.01617%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Robert Horry-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.07-0.040.00217%-0.042-0.07250%-0.01
Tim Duncan-0.260,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.2,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.25,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.26,-0.26-0.23-0.07-0.041530%-0.026-0.251040%-0.06

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anderson Varejao0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.040.023100%0.1000.002100%0.01
Daniel Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.010.011050%0.0300.0000%0.00
Shannon Brown00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Damon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.08-0.030.06569%-0.0200.003100%0.00
Eric Snow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.000.00450%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Drew Gooden0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.02-0.001244%-0.001-0.031100%0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.02-0.00844%-0.011-0.032100%0.01
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.00636%-0.021-0.02250%-0.03
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.010.01625%-0.0600.0000%0.00
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.26,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.26,-0.26,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.35,-0.3,-0.29,-0.29,-0.34,-0.4,-0.4,-0.44,-0.45,-0.43-0.43-0.22-0.170.033036%-0.236-0.20633%-0.08
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.24.834.020.531.23.841.2163.6
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +48.8%
SAS +5.0%
SAS +16.4%
CLE -22.6%
SAS +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASCLENBASASCLENBA
this game16.815.915.493.394.3104.5
season16.216.0107.5103.2
opponent15.615.499.698.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS17.816.814.518.216.8
CLE17.418.317.611.015.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Manu Ginobili60620.72-0.220.940.3413-122516.417.7-1.2215.616.7-1.12
Bruce Bowen81770.58-0.080.650.522-1316.421.1-4.7215.916.1-0.24
Tony Parker71710.53-0.030.560.472-1317.016.30.6215.517.4-1.83
Tim Duncan76730.480.020.460.316-51117.115.51.5115.418.3-2.86
Fabricio Oberto42420.480.020.460.335-4919.614.35.2816.715.21.51
Francisco Elson17170.030.47-0.440.0010118.816.42.3919.115.13.94
Robert Horry38360.030.47-0.440.06-12-314.518.5-4.0216.515.51.05
Jacque Vaughn1816-0.030.53-0.56-0.00-12-316.317.0-0.6217.415.51.83
Michael Finley2929-0.030.53-0.570.26-1011-2117.816.41.3816.015.80.22
Brent Barry1312-0.280.78-1.070.07-1213-2513.217.5-4.3111.116.7-5.57

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Donyell Marshall3439-0.09-0.410.31-0.4713-142713.717.3-3.6316.417.2-0.84
Eric Snow2120-0.15-0.350.200.06-76-1318.115.22.9818.216.41.83
Sasha Pavlovic4040-0.21-0.290.08-0.06-54-915.815.9-0.0615.717.7-1.96
Anderson Varejao4142-0.21-0.290.07-0.334-5914.916.8-1.8618.615.23.39
Damon Jones3740-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.477-81514.616.8-2.1516.317.2-0.92
Drew Gooden5048-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.01-1110-2117.314.03.2816.617.1-0.58
Zydrunas Ilgauskas4746-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.05-109-1917.414.03.4016.916.70.17
Daniel Gibson8082-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.492-3515.618.7-3.0817.014.42.61
LeBron James8588-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.512-3515.820.0-4.2116.546.0-29.50


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.28,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.33,0.24,0.22,0.02,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 91, IND 830.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.4,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.33,0.26,0.09,0.06,0.04,093.2%
TOR 92, MIL 890.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.19,0.29,0.26,0.34,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.53,0.33,0.23,0.21,0.11,0.25,092.4%
HOU 108, SAC 940.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.17,0.2,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.02,0,091.8%