NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	96		Excitement	3.9 [1032]		MVP	Brent Barry (SAS): +9.2%
San Antonio Spurs	105		Comeback	1.1 [1135]		LVP	Deron Williams (UTA): -11.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.18	-0.01	0.09	23	62%	0.09	1	-0.01	7	71%	-0.00
Gordan Giricek	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	11	52%	0.05	5	-0.08	7	71%	-0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	13	41%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	3	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	9	15%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Deron Williams	-0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	0.08	19	57%	-0.00	6	-0.11	8	62%	-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.00	-0.00	4	112%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	7	87%	0.09	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	15	68%	0.13	3	-0.05	8	75%	0.02
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	-0.06	12	65%	0.13	5	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.02	6	75%	0.08	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.05	10	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	12	61%	0.08	7	-0.11	4	50%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	3.6	30.1	19.7	29.2	3.7	36.2	149.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +56.8%

UTA -2.5%

UTA -3.1%

UTA -2.9%

SAS +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAS	NBA	UTA	SAS	NBA
this game	14.7	15.3	15.4	100.0	109.4	104.5
season	15.9	16.2		107.4	107.5
opponent	15.4	15.0		98.9	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.4	16.9	14.6	13.1	14.7
SAS	13.3	15.1	16.7	16.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Millsap	24	24	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	-5	1	15.9	14.3	1.58	13.7	15.9	-2.19
Gordan Giricek	15	15	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	-2	-5	17.0	14.3	2.74	12.7	15.8	-3.14
Andrei Kirilenko	76	76	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.36	4	-13	17	14.0	17.3	-3.30	15.9	12.9	3.05
Matt Harpring	55	54	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-6	3	14.4	15.0	-0.63	15.0	15.7	-0.71
Carlos Boozer	85	84	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.30	0	-9	9	14.6	15.5	-0.97	15.5	14.3	1.12
Derek Fisher	63	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.04	-10	1	-11	15.0	14.0	1.00	14.5	16.9	-2.48
Mehmet Okur	80	81	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.17	-11	2	-13	14.6	14.9	-0.30	15.9	12.1	3.85
Deron Williams	82	83	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.14	-14	5	-19	14.6	15.0	-0.37	15.8	12.2	3.65

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	78	78	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.20	9	0	9	15.6	14.3	1.27	14.7	14.6	0.16
Tim Duncan	74	74	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.18	7	2	5	16.1	12.6	3.53	14.7	14.7	-0.05
Fabricio Oberto	69	67	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.10	9	0	9	14.5	17.4	-2.97	14.8	14.4	0.44
Michael Finley	46	44	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	0	9	15.4	15.3	0.11	15.7	13.8	1.84
Brent Barry	26	26	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	4	1	14.3	15.7	-1.33	15.8	14.3	1.59
Bruce Bowen	59	60	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.08	6	3	3	15.4	15.1	0.29	14.5	15.1	-0.59
Manu Ginobili	60	61	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.21	0	9	-9	15.8	14.5	1.30	13.8	16.2	-2.34
Francisco Elson	14	14	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	6	-3	15.2	15.3	-0.11	16.6	14.4	2.21
Robert Horry	35	36	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	10	-11	15.3	15.3	-0.04	14.0	15.1	-1.14
Jacque Vaughn	18	18	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	9	-9	14.3	15.6	-1.27	14.6	14.7	-0.16
Matt Bonner	0	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	9	-9	0.0	15.3	-15.31	6.0	14.8	-8.78
Beno Udrih	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	11	-13	2.0	15.5	-13.45	6.0	14.8	-8.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.97,0.92,0.93,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 94, DEN 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.84,0.88,0.94,0.94,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
TOR 106, PHI 115	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.92,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
PHI 85, MIA 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%