NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	85		Excitement	2.7 [1233]		MVP	Udonis Haslem (MIA): +14.5%
Miami Heat	104		Comeback	1.2 [1059]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -9.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shavlik Randolph	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	60%	-0.00	2	-0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Steven Hunter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	6	47%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.03
Kyle Korver	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	9	33%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	24	50%	0.01	5	-0.03	12	83%	-0.02
Samuel Dalembert	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Willie Green	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	6	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	16	47%	-0.03	5	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.01	5	29%	-0.07	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.01	0.00	15	65%	0.15	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	14	57%	0.03	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	70%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	10	56%	0.04	2	-0.03	7	71%	0.01
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	6	83%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	3	25%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Wayne Simien	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	19	56%	0.05	7	-0.06	7	71%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.7	31.8	15.8	28.1	2.5	34.3	140.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +31.2%

MIA +13.7%

PHI -1.3%

MIA +7.2%

PHI -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIA	NBA	PHI	MIA	NBA
this game	14.2	15.1	15.6	85.0	107.2	104.4
season	15.2	15.5		104.1	106.1
opponent	15.5	15.3		102.3	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.8	18.5	14.1	11.3	14.2
MIA	14.5	15.1	14.7	15.9	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-19	19	11.0	14.3	-3.31	13.2	15.2	-1.90
Matt Barnes	37	37	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.24	8	-27	35	12.0	15.5	-3.50	16.8	14.0	2.72
Shavlik Randolph	20	20	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.37	12	-31	43	12.6	14.6	-1.91	18.1	14.3	3.88
Willie Green	20	18	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-20	21	14.0	14.2	-0.16	15.2	15.1	0.12
Samuel Dalembert	27	26	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-18	17	14.7	14.0	0.67	15.0	15.1	-0.05
Kyle Korver	64	64	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.07	-4	-15	11	13.5	15.3	-1.80	15.1	15.1	-0.03
John Salmons	56	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-14	9	13.5	15.0	-1.55	16.3	13.6	2.67
Steven Hunter	44	44	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.23	-20	1	-21	16.4	12.4	3.94	13.5	16.4	-2.92
Allen Iverson	93	90	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	0.15	-22	3	-25	14.4	11.6	2.80	14.9	16.9	-1.92
Andre Iguodala	55	53	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.32	-29	10	-39	15.3	12.8	2.55	14.1	16.3	-2.20
Chris Webber	80	76	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	0.45	-35	16	-51	14.4	13.4	0.98	14.5	17.2	-2.76

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Udonis Haslem	85	88	0.65	-0.15	0.79	-0.17	28	-9	37	15.3	13.2	2.17	14.6	11.2	3.42
Shaquille O'Neal	71	74	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.40	34	-15	49	14.6	16.2	-1.58	14.4	13.6	0.81
Dwyane Wade	80	82	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.33	25	-6	31	14.9	15.9	-1.05	13.9	15.6	-1.75
Gary Payton	61	65	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.20	17	2	15	15.3	14.6	0.69	14.4	13.8	0.58
Shandon Anderson	48	50	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	16	-13	15.7	14.5	1.22	14.0	14.4	-0.40
Derek Anderson	40	39	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	18	-17	14.2	15.7	-1.53	14.9	13.7	1.22
Antoine Walker	67	69	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	15	-11	15.1	15.0	0.15	13.9	14.7	-0.81
Jason Kapono	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	19	-19	14.4	15.1	-0.71	11.0	14.3	-3.31
Wayne Simien	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	21	-23	10.7	15.2	-4.55	10.0	14.3	-4.31
Michael Doleac	25	26	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.34	-15	34	-49	16.1	14.7	1.41	13.6	14.4	-0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 111, NYK 120	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.76,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1	97.2%
LAC 86, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
CLE 99, LAL 115	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%