NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	111		Excitement	3.5 [1080]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +12.7%
New York Knicks	120		Comeback	1.2 [860]		LVP	Jason Williams (SAC): -10.2%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Webber	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.00	18	65%	0.10	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Vlade Divac	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	11	74%	0.08	4	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.09	-0.01	0.07	9	80%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	4	60%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	9	45%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
Lawrence Funderburke	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Darrick Martin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.00	0.05	8	55%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jon Barry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.01	0.06	5	67%	-0.03	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Nick Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	10	40%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.20	-0.00	-0.09	9	28%	-0.01	7	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.01	-0.01	19	70%	0.15	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	9	62%	0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.03	17	73%	0.11	4	-0.05	10	100%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	10	59%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	10	55%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Ewing	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	12	48%	0.04	4	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	5	75%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	3.2	31.6	18.3	27.5	2.7	38.2	143.6
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +36.5%

NYK +5.5%

SAC -0.2%

NYK +8.7%

SAC -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NYK	NBA	SAC	NYK	NBA
this game	12.9	15.1	15.2	107.8	116.5	101.7
season	13.8	16.1		102.9	100.0
opponent	15.8	14.7		98.8	100.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	11.8	14.1	13.9	12.1	12.9
NYK	14.0	14.7	15.4	16.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrick Martin	29	27	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.32	9	-18	27	13.2	12.8	0.42	16.1	14.7	1.43
Lawrence Funderburke	27	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.35	8	-17	25	11.7	13.3	-1.58	14.5	15.3	-0.80
Corliss Williamson	50	50	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.08	-8	-1	-7	13.0	12.8	0.15	15.4	14.8	0.63
Scot Pollard	37	35	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.39	8	-17	25	13.4	12.6	0.78	16.6	14.2	2.38
Jon Barry	42	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.37	5	-14	19	13.7	12.4	1.33	15.6	14.7	0.91
Nick Anderson	64	64	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	4	-17	12.1	14.3	-2.22	14.4	16.2	-1.80
Vlade Divac	62	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.14	-16	7	-23	13.5	12.0	1.42	15.5	14.3	1.23
Tyrone Corbin	53	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-8	7	12.8	13.0	-0.15	14.8	15.4	-0.63
Chris Webber	77	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.16	-19	10	-29	12.9	13.0	-0.08	14.5	16.8	-2.25
Jason Williams	74	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.12	-18	9	-27	12.8	13.2	-0.42	14.6	16.2	-1.64

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Johnson	80	82	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.11	16	-7	23	15.7	12.8	2.87	13.5	10.6	2.87
Latrell Sprewell	92	92	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.03	15	-6	21	14.2	21.8	-7.57	12.8	13.5	-0.62
Patrick Ewing	74	73	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.01	14	-5	19	15.5	14.0	1.47	12.3	14.5	-2.21
Allan Houston	90	89	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.33	2	7	-5	15.2	13.8	1.48	12.5	15.4	-2.84
Marcus Camby	57	58	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.33	1	8	-7	14.6	15.6	-0.99	12.9	12.8	0.10
Charlie Ward	85	85	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	4	1	15.0	15.3	-0.27	12.9	13.1	-0.25
Kurt Thomas	37	36	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.26	-8	17	-25	15.2	15.0	0.20	14.0	12.3	1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.76,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 85, MIA 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
NOH 86, HOU 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.9%
LAC 86, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%