NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	109		Excitement	13.7 [6]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +146.0%
Detroit Pistons	107		Comeback	12.0 [83]		LVP	Sasha Pavlovic (CLE): -54.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	1.46	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.16,0.04,0.42,0.57,0.63,0.54,0.68,0.76,0.83,0.83,0.83,1.15,1.46	0.20	1.21	-0.04	33	60%	1.53	2	-0.07	14	71%	-0.12
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.04	0.00	9	67%	0.17	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.03
Daniel Gibson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.01	7	55%	0.08	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Damon Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.03	0.03	3	82%	0.05	4	-0.11	5	60%	-0.04
Anderson Varejao	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.08	0.00	-0.09	-0.01	6	56%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Eric Snow	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	1	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-0.00	10	32%	-0.19	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.54	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.46,-0.54,-0.54,-0.54	-0.13	-0.41	0.00	10	27%	-0.31	3	-0.23	2	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.06,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46	0.46	0.07	0.41	0.02	13	60%	0.58	1	-0.12	9	67%	0.11
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.09	0.27	0.01	13	67%	0.41	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.09	-0.00	2	90%	0.10	1	-0.13	6	83%	0.01
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.09,0.17,0.07,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	18	54%	0.09	4	-0.14	12	100%	0.11
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.07,-0.01,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.27	-0.27	0.02	-0.28	0.01	13	47%	-0.27	0	0.00	10	90%	0.05
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41	-0.41	-0.12	-0.30	-0.01	13	36%	-0.14	4	-0.27	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	34.2	3.8	39.2	20.5	28.7	2.0	42.2	2.5	23.2	2.5	16.1	214.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +95.5%

DET -46.7%

DET -2.4%

CLE +4.4%

DET -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	17.9	17.1	15.4	111.2	105.9	104.5
season	16.0	16.8		103.2	106.1
opponent	15.7	15.6		101.7	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CLE	16.7	16.5	20.1	17.5	19.5	17.9
DET	16.0	15.5	16.9	20.4	17.1	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donyell Marshall	25	27	1.36	-0.86	2.21	0.74	21	-19	40	19.1	17.5	1.59	13.7	18.3	-4.67
Anderson Varejao	55	54	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.64	5	-3	8	18.7	16.8	1.93	17.7	16.3	1.40
Damon Jones	22	24	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.43	12	-10	22	18.4	17.8	0.60	17.5	16.9	0.59
LeBron James	84	88	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.40	2	0	2	17.8	18.3	-0.45	17.1	17.2	-0.07
Larry Hughes	52	51	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	-1	4	17.1	18.8	-1.79	17.5	16.7	0.73
Eric Snow	15	15	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.33	-9	11	-20	15.7	18.3	-2.63	18.1	16.9	1.15
Sasha Pavlovic	73	73	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.35	-10	12	-22	18.2	17.1	1.04	16.9	17.5	-0.57
Daniel Gibson	49	52	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.19	8	-6	14	18.7	17.1	1.51	16.5	17.7	-1.25
Drew Gooden	50	52	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	2	-2	16.3	19.5	-3.18	16.9	17.3	-0.42
Scot Pollard	0	1	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	4	-6	0.0	17.9	-17.90	14.0	17.1	-3.12
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	65	68	-1.10	1.60	-2.69	-0.51	-20	22	-42	18.2	17.4	0.81	18.1	14.9	3.19

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Webber	49	53	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.32	15	-17	32	17.4	16.8	0.66	18.3	17.4	0.92
Antonio McDyess	8	8	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-3	4	13.9	17.4	-3.49	17.9	17.9	-0.03
Carlos Delfino	16	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.06	-6	4	-10	13.9	17.7	-3.82	16.2	18.2	-1.97
Dale Davis	15	14	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.00	-8	6	-14	18.7	16.8	1.93	15.1	18.4	-3.21
Chauncey Billups	93	91	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.40	5	-7	12	17.4	14.0	3.35	17.6	21.4	-3.80
Jason Maxiell	52	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	8	-18	15.9	18.3	-2.40	17.8	18.0	-0.14
Tayshaun Prince	85	82	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.50	4	-6	10	17.7	13.9	3.82	18.2	16.2	1.97
Rasheed Wallace	77	74	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.39	0	-2	2	17.8	14.9	2.90	18.4	16.4	1.96
Richard Hamilton	84	84	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-1	0	16.6	19.6	-3.00	17.9	17.9	-0.04
Lindsey Hunter	26	22	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.23	-10	8	-18	17.5	17.0	0.50	18.3	17.8	0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.72,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.47,0.68,0.85,0.67,0.73,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.28,0.54,0.31,0.55,0.67,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 133, DAL 126	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.37,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.39,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.55,0.28,0	88.7%
DAL 90, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.43,0.32,0.36,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.83,1	87.6%
NYK 97, DET 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.43,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.81,0.84,0.69,0.74,1	87.2%