NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	115		Excitement	8.0 [267]		MVP	Derek Fisher (UTA): +33.1%
Golden State Warriors	101		Comeback	2.4 [197]		LVP	Deron Williams (UTA): -15.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.33	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.16	0.19	0.02	11	72%	0.33	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
Carlos Boozer	0.27	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.16	0.11	0.01	19	69%	0.38	3	-0.11	11	73%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.05	0.08	4	87%	0.10	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.02	0.03	5	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	8	100%	0.03
Ronnie Brewer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.12,-0.16,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	18	44%	0.05	7	-0.20	9	78%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.16	0.06	0.01	16	63%	0.20	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	3	70%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.05
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	16	42%	0.02	1	0.01	4	25%	-0.10
Josh Powell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelenna Azubuike	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.05
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	47%	0.06	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.04
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	13	50%	0.04	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	12	29%	-0.09	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.08	0.02	15	57%	0.05	6	-0.17	12	92%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.8	34.8	20.4	29.8	3.6	45.6	164.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +30.6%

UTA +26.6%

UTA +19.0%

GSW -25.8%

GSW -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	GSW	NBA	UTA	GSW	NBA
this game	14.7	14.0	15.4	115.0	100.0	104.5
season	15.9	13.5		107.4	105.7
opponent	15.2	15.0		105.7	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.9	16.0	13.9	14.0	14.7
GSW	13.4	13.3	13.8	15.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	83	83	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.16	19	-5	24	14.8	14.0	0.84	14.6	10.9	3.74
Mehmet Okur	56	57	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.24	11	3	8	14.2	15.4	-1.19	14.8	12.9	1.82
Carlos Boozer	93	93	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.05	13	1	12	14.3	20.6	-6.31	13.8	16.4	-2.62
Deron Williams	91	92	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.05	15	-1	16	14.3	19.2	-4.97	13.7	16.4	-2.73
Andrei Kirilenko	44	46	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.13	6	8	-2	15.4	14.1	1.27	13.8	14.1	-0.21
Paul Millsap	36	36	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	8	-2	16.9	13.5	3.46	14.5	13.7	0.80
Gordan Giricek	27	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.13	4	10	-6	14.3	14.8	-0.50	11.1	15.0	-3.89
Ronnie Brewer	1	1	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	14	-14	0.0	14.8	-14.85	18.0	13.9	4.08
Matt Harpring	53	55	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.14	-6	20	-26	15.3	14.0	1.32	14.6	13.2	1.36
Jarron Collins	16	15	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.13	2	12	-10	13.4	14.9	-1.50	11.7	14.3	-2.62

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Pietrus	34	35	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.14	9	-23	32	12.9	14.5	-1.54	16.1	14.0	2.13
Monta Ellis	48	47	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.07	-2	-12	10	12.4	15.4	-3.06	15.3	14.2	1.09
Josh Powell	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-15	16	5.5	14.1	-8.63	12.5	14.7	-2.24
Kelenna Azubuike	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-11	8	5.5	14.1	-8.63	12.5	14.7	-2.24
Matt Barnes	45	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.32	-19	5	-24	11.7	15.8	-4.14	13.1	16.0	-2.93
Baron Davis	81	81	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.12	-5	-9	4	14.7	11.1	3.57	14.6	15.0	-0.37
Al Harrington	61	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.29	-2	-12	10	15.2	12.1	3.12	15.7	13.1	2.58
Andris Biedrins	71	69	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.21	-12	-2	-10	14.5	12.6	1.89	14.6	15.0	-0.43
Stephen Jackson	92	91	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.02	-19	5	-24	14.2	12.0	2.15	14.5	16.2	-1.67
Jason Richardson	69	68	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.13	-18	4	-22	14.8	12.1	2.69	14.3	15.6	-1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.37,0.48,0.4,0.62,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.53,0.39,0.19,0.16,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 91, LAL 88	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.26,0.07,0.1,0.09,0	92.5%
SEA 117, NYK 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.54,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.15,0.22,0.15,0.05,0	92.0%
SAS 88, LAC 82	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.15,0.05,0.09,0.05,0	91.8%