NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	88		Excitement	6.5 [486]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +25.6%
Los Angeles Clippers	82		Comeback	2.8 [703]		LVP	Bruce Bowen (SAS): -15.2%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.26	0.09	0.18	0.01	12	62%	0.30	2	-0.05	13	92%	0.07
Tony Parker	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.11	0.13	0.01	17	63%	0.28	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.00
Fabricio Oberto	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Bonner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	5	40%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ime Udoka	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	16	47%	0.00	4	-0.10	4	25%	-0.04
Michael Finley	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	10	14%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	0.00	8	27%	-0.09	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.03	0.01	11	67%	0.14	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	7	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.04	0.01	13	54%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Richie Frahm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	4	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	19	41%	0.02	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.03
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	-0.00	9	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	31.4	17.8	23.4	3.4	35.6	139.5
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -2.0%

SAS +21.6%

SAS +19.4%

SAS +11.2%

LAC -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAC	NBA	SAS	LAC	NBA
this game	16.8	15.9	15.4	100.0	93.2	105.7
season	16.5	15.6		104.7	99.5
opponent	15.1	15.3		106.8	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.8	14.5	19.5	18.0	16.8
LAC	14.2	16.8	15.7	17.1	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	53	54	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.30	16	-10	26	16.1	18.0	-1.88	16.0	15.7	0.25
Bruce Bowen	72	70	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.35	4	2	2	16.9	16.6	0.26	15.7	16.8	-1.12
Tony Parker	68	67	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.23	8	-2	10	16.5	17.9	-1.37	15.5	17.1	-1.65
Tim Duncan	64	62	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.20	7	-1	8	17.1	16.2	0.93	16.0	15.7	0.22
Michael Finley	64	63	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.27	3	3	0	17.4	15.2	2.19	16.3	14.8	1.46
Fabricio Oberto	24	26	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.12	-1	7	-8	16.2	17.1	-0.93	15.7	16.0	-0.22
Matt Bonner	33	36	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	4	-2	16.8	16.9	-0.08	16.1	15.8	0.29
Jacque Vaughn	20	21	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.10	-2	8	-10	17.9	16.5	1.37	17.1	15.5	1.65
Ime Udoka	1	2	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	6	-6	14.0	16.9	-2.87	9.0	16.0	-7.05
Robert Horry	41	39	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.01	-7	13	-20	16.9	16.8	0.12	15.7	16.0	-0.35

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Powell	27	24	0.01	-0.51	0.53	-0.05	2	-8	10	16.3	15.7	0.59	15.9	17.2	-1.27
Corey Maggette	57	58	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.12	2	-8	10	15.5	16.5	-1.02	18.1	14.4	3.65
Sam Cassell	43	43	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-3	0	15.5	16.2	-0.73	17.4	16.3	1.04
Richie Frahm	9	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.06	-3	-3	0	17.1	15.7	1.36	16.9	16.8	0.05
Quinton Ross	44	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	0	-6	15.4	16.4	-1.05	17.6	16.2	1.40
Tim Thomas	29	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.19	-1	-5	4	16.6	15.6	0.99	14.9	17.8	-2.90
Al Thornton	73	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.31	-3	-3	0	16.1	14.9	1.23	16.7	17.3	-0.58
Brevin Knight	45	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-3	0	16.2	15.5	0.73	16.3	17.4	-1.04
Cuttino Mobley	52	53	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.31	-7	1	-8	15.8	15.9	-0.10	16.1	18.0	-1.88
Chris Kaman	61	64	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.28	-8	2	-10	15.7	16.3	-0.59	17.2	15.9	1.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.15,0.05,0.09,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 89, POR 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.27,0.41,0.28,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.08,0	93.8%
CLE 86, NJN 82	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.37,0.46,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.24,0.37,0.41,0.3,0.22,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.05,0	93.6%
HOU 99, DEN 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.01,0	93.5%