NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	99		Excitement	7.8 [237]		MVP	Chase Budinger (HOU): +28.6%
Denver Nuggets	90		Comeback	2.1 [182]		LVP	Al Harrington (DEN): -27.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chase Budinger	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29	0.11	0.18	-0.00	11	67%	0.29	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kyle Lowry	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.04	0.01	11	83%	0.25	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Courtney Lee	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.02	8	56%	0.07	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	5	75%	0.11	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Luis Scola	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.04	0.02	20	53%	0.10	3	-0.05	7	71%	-0.02
Samuel Dalembert	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Adrien	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jordan Hill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	8	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	9	32%	-0.07	3	-0.09	7	86%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	4	91%	0.15	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.06	-0.04	10	55%	0.14	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	87%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Julyan Stone	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	14	42%	-0.02	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.02
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.05	0.03	9	56%	-0.01	3	-0.09	7	86%	0.02
Rudy Fernandez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	13	44%	-0.05	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.05
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.14,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.23,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.18	-0.10	-0.00	16	32%	-0.12	4	-0.15	6	33%	-0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	28.5	15.6	30.6	2.3	31.7	136.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +48.6%

HOU +12.1%

DEN -19.7%

HOU +18.6%

DEN -9.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DEN	NBA	HOU	DEN	NBA
this game	15.4	13.2	15.6	99.0	89.1	102.8
season	15.4	14.5		103.5	107.5
opponent	15.8	15.5		104.5	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.4	16.0	14.1	18.3	15.4
DEN	16.0	12.8	12.1	12.2	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Lee	66	65	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.14	15	-6	21	16.5	13.3	3.24	12.9	13.8	-0.88
Chase Budinger	56	55	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.28	9	0	9	16.0	14.7	1.38	12.7	13.8	-1.12
Kyle Lowry	66	69	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.18	12	-3	15	15.5	15.4	0.12	13.9	11.9	1.99
Patrick Patterson	57	56	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.22	9	0	9	16.5	14.0	2.47	12.8	13.8	-0.97
Jeff Adrien	35	37	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	-6	21	13.8	16.3	-2.55	13.2	13.2	-0.03
Luis Scola	74	75	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	10	-11	15.6	14.8	0.79	13.5	12.5	0.94
Chandler Parsons	34	34	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	9	-9	14.2	16.1	-1.85	14.4	12.6	1.81
Kevin Martin	47	50	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	10	-11	14.3	16.4	-2.10	13.3	13.2	0.08
Goran Dragic	34	32	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.06	-3	12	-15	15.4	15.5	-0.12	11.9	13.9	-1.99
Samuel Dalembert	14	16	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	13	-17	12.2	16.0	-3.74	15.7	12.8	2.99
Jordan Hill	17	16	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.03	-6	15	-21	16.3	15.3	1.04	11.5	13.6	-2.06

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenneth Faried	41	39	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-10	11	13.0	13.4	-0.32	14.3	16.2	-1.92
Danilo Gallinari	43	41	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.01	-5	-4	-1	15.0	11.9	3.11	13.8	16.5	-2.71
Kosta Koufos	47	48	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-10	11	14.3	12.3	2.02	15.6	15.2	0.37
Chris Andersen	41	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.01	-7	-2	-5	13.2	13.3	-0.11	15.0	15.7	-0.68
Ty Lawson	81	81	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-7	5	12.9	14.7	-1.82	15.7	14.2	1.51
Julyan Stone	46	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-5	1	14.1	12.5	1.52	14.3	16.3	-1.94
Rudy Fernandez	71	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.24	-7	-2	-5	12.8	14.3	-1.46	16.2	13.6	2.58
Al Harrington	70	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.24	-8	-1	-7	12.7	14.5	-1.89	16.0	14.1	1.90
Andre Miller	65	65	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.11	-14	5	-19	12.4	14.7	-2.35	16.2	14.0	2.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.52,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 75, CLE 72	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.3,0.3,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.12,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.04,0	94.5%
CLE 86, NJN 82	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.37,0.46,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.42,0.38,0.24,0.37,0.41,0.3,0.22,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.05,0	93.8%
SAS 88, LAC 82	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.15,0.05,0.09,0.05,0	93.5%