NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	91		Excitement	9.4 [79]		MVP	Martell Webster (POR): +61.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	88		Comeback	3.6 [281]		LVP	Andre Miller (POR): -16.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0.62	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.62	0.16	0.46	-0.00	7	80%	0.62	0	0.00	6	100%	0.08
Marcus Camby	0.24	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.24	0.01	0.24	0.01	8	62%	0.29	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	6	69%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	67%	0.14	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Dante Cunningham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	3	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,-0.05	0.04	-0.09	0.00	21	52%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Juwan Howard	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	20	37%	-0.02	3	-0.14	1	100%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.17	0.17	0.16	0.04	0.02	13	72%	0.17	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.11	0.01	11	58%	0.17	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.17
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.04	-0.05	15	53%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.05	-0.00	23	41%	0.06	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.38
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	10	35%	-0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	5	0%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	3.5	28.2	19.8	29.0	3.5	42.3	152.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +36.6%

POR +39.1%

LAL -0.7%

LAL -25.6%

POR +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAL	NBA	POR	LAL	NBA
this game	16.6	17.7	15.3	108.3	104.8	106.0
season	16.7	15.7		108.8	107.9
opponent	15.1	15.6		103.0	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	19.1	14.0	18.0	15.5	16.6
LAL	17.7	20.3	14.1	18.8	17.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Fernandez	65	66	1.00	-0.50	1.49	0.79	7	-4	11	16.4	17.4	-1.04	17.9	16.8	1.06
LaMarcus Aldridge	76	77	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.43	8	-5	13	16.3	19.9	-3.60	18.0	14.3	3.69
Andre Miller	55	55	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.41	8	-5	13	15.9	17.9	-2.00	16.9	19.2	-2.35
Marcus Camby	65	64	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.40	1	2	-1	17.0	15.4	1.55	16.7	20.6	-3.92
Martell Webster	41	42	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.41	-2	5	-7	17.1	16.2	0.89	18.4	17.0	1.43
Brandon Roy	19	19	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	1	1	18.5	16.1	2.46	17.9	17.6	0.36
Dante Cunningham	0	1	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	3	-3	0.0	16.6	-16.62	4.0	17.8	-13.83
Juwan Howard	27	26	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.03	-3	6	-9	16.7	16.6	0.18	19.6	16.8	2.77
Jerryd Bayless	26	26	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.00	-5	8	-13	16.8	16.5	0.33	19.1	17.0	2.04
Nicolas Batum	46	44	-0.39	0.89	-1.27	-0.36	-1	4	-5	16.5	16.8	-0.36	16.7	18.7	-2.02

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Farmar	23	23	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.06	3	-6	9	20.0	16.8	3.21	17.9	16.1	1.72
Sasha Vujacic	34	33	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.14	5	-8	13	15.3	19.3	-3.94	18.0	15.7	2.32
Shannon Brown	25	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	2	-7	19.5	16.9	2.64	15.8	16.9	-1.09
DJ Mbenga	12	13	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	2	-7	20.2	17.2	2.92	18.8	16.2	2.63
Pau Gasol	71	71	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.31	2	-5	7	17.4	18.9	-1.49	16.2	18.8	-2.63
Lamar Odom	76	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-3	3	17.2	21.7	-4.51	16.7	15.4	1.38
Derek Fisher	56	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-2	1	16.5	20.1	-3.61	15.6	18.7	-3.14
Kobe Bryant	70	70	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.45	-2	-1	-1	17.6	17.8	-0.14	16.6	16.8	-0.20
Metta World Peace	53	55	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.24	-12	9	-21	18.9	15.5	3.46	16.5	16.8	-0.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.64,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.26,0.07,0.1,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 89, DEN 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.41,0.4,0.24,0.07,0.01,0,0	93.2%
UTA 115, GSW 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.64,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.37,0.48,0.4,0.62,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.53,0.39,0.19,0.16,0.02,0,0	92.5%
UTA 90, DAL 79	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.41,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.08,0.01,0,0	92.3%