NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	117		Excitement	10.2 [64]		MVP	Deron Williams (UTA): +42.5%
Utah Jazz	127		Comeback	66.6 [29]		LVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): -14.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0.23	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23	0.17	0.07	0.01	22	71%	0.36	4	-0.13	7	86%	0.01
Andris Biedrins	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.09	0.00	1	100%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Jason Richardson	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.27,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	20	57%	0.17	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.08
Al Harrington	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	15	53%	0.09	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Mickael Pietrus	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.01	1	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.08
Monta Ellis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Matt Barnes	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.05	-0.04	12	43%	0.06	2	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Stephen Jackson	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	18	39%	-0.02	2	-0.11	10	80%	0.03

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.32,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.01	0.40	-0.02	13	55%	0.57	3	-0.14	5	80%	0.02
Mehmet Okur	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.09	-0.02	15	70%	0.28	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.02
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	5	83%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	1	125%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	-0.00	9	56%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	-0.06	0.03	14	71%	0.32	6	-0.31	14	86%	0.05
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	8	37%	-0.01	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	18	47%	-0.06	4	-0.09	7	86%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.2	3.4	34.3	18.8	28.1	2.7	43.2	2.5	15.0	177.3
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +64.8%

UTA +0.5%

UTA +11.4%

GSW -35.2%

UTA +8.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	UTA	NBA	GSW	UTA	NBA
this game	14.4	16.0	15.4	113.6	119.8	104.5
season	13.5	15.9		105.7	107.4
opponent	15.0	15.2		104.9	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
GSW	13.0	15.6	14.0	16.3	11.6	14.4
UTA	15.7	16.4	16.0	15.6	16.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andris Biedrins	63	65	0.49	-0.99	1.48	0.34	5	-15	20	15.0	13.4	1.55	16.5	15.2	1.29
Monta Ellis	15	16	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.07	0	-10	10	12.6	14.7	-2.10	15.0	16.2	-1.19
Al Harrington	56	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.31	-4	-6	2	15.1	13.6	1.51	16.3	15.7	0.59
Jason Richardson	92	96	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.15	-10	0	-10	14.1	17.1	-3.01	15.9	17.4	-1.54
Matt Barnes	84	86	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	0	-10	14.1	15.5	-1.38	15.8	17.0	-1.28
Stephen Jackson	90	94	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	0	-10	14.1	16.6	-2.54	16.2	14.7	1.42
Mickael Pietrus	25	25	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.27	-10	0	-10	14.7	14.3	0.37	16.2	15.9	0.30
Baron Davis	90	92	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.25	-11	1	-12	14.7	12.6	2.04	15.8	17.3	-1.47

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	21	21	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.53	10	0	10	16.0	16.0	0.05	10.1	15.5	-5.34
Deron Williams	73	71	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-1	12	16.5	14.9	1.55	15.0	13.1	1.85
Mehmet Okur	87	83	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.13	14	-4	18	16.1	15.5	0.59	14.3	14.7	-0.37
Gordan Giricek	56	54	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.31	2	8	-6	15.8	16.2	-0.36	13.0	15.9	-2.94
Paul Millsap	38	40	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	4	2	16.7	15.6	1.01	15.8	13.5	2.25
Carlos Boozer	87	83	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	10	-10	15.6	17.8	-2.17	13.8	16.8	-3.04
Ronnie Brewer	20	20	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.05	6	4	2	15.8	16.0	-0.20	14.6	14.3	0.31
Dee Brown	12	12	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	8	-6	17.2	15.9	1.30	12.2	14.7	-2.53
Matt Harpring	54	54	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.40	8	2	6	15.6	16.4	-0.81	16.1	12.5	3.60
Andrei Kirilenko	82	77	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.01	-9	19	-28	15.8	16.7	-0.85	15.1	12.3	2.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.64,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.73,0.89,0.79,0.45,0.09,0.54,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 106, DAL 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.68,0.42,0.54,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.96,1	90.1%
POR 100, DEN 110	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.55,0.66,0.28,0.46,0.61,0.84,0.98,1,1	88.9%
NOH 101, NJN 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.55,0.34,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.57,0.53,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.57,0.09,0.54,0.53,0.63,0.57,0.73,1	88.3%