NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	101		Excitement	10.4 [45]		MVP	Sasha Vujacic (NJN): +47.1%
New Jersey Nets	103		Comeback	25.5 [50]		LVP	Chris Paul (NOH): -44.9%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.33,0.33	0.16	0.18	0.00	10	85%	0.33	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.26	0.08	0.18	0.00	23	60%	0.36	4	-0.11	7	86%	0.08
Aaron Gray	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	0.01	7	56%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Willie Green	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.03	0.11	-0.05	0.03	14	63%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
David Andersen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	9	57%	0.09	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Jason Smith	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.45	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.18,-0.26,-0.45	-0.22	-0.24	-0.01	15	30%	-0.10	7	-0.35	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.47,0.47	0.47	0.20	0.27	0.00	14	83%	0.49	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.19	0.19	0.04	0.16	0.00	15	50%	0.19	0	0.00	10	80%	0.09
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.09	0.01	8	70%	0.30	1	-0.15	4	50%	-0.06
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.06	0.01	15	50%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	9	58%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	-0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.08	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	0.01	3	33%	-0.04	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.06	-0.13	-0.00	9	44%	-0.07	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.7	1.8	27.3	15.5	26.0	2.4	34.4	2.4	19.8	151.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	1.9	16.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +29.0%

NJN +4.2%

NJN +13.2%

NOH -10.0%

NJN +13.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	NJN	NBA	NOH	NJN	NBA
this game	17.0	16.1	15.5	105.2	107.3	105.7
season	16.2	16.4		104.6	101.6
opponent	15.3	15.9		108.5	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NOH	18.2	18.5	15.2	17.6	15.0	17.0
NJN	17.0	15.8	14.2	18.4	15.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gray	73	71	0.39	-0.89	1.29	-0.02	14	-16	30	16.3	19.2	-2.85	17.1	13.4	3.67
DJ Mbenga	1	0	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.04	-2	0	-2	29.0	16.9	12.12	0.0	16.1	-16.11
Willie Green	61	62	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.24	6	-8	14	16.8	17.3	-0.52	17.0	14.5	2.50
Sasha Pavlovic	25	25	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.06	-2	0	-2	16.0	17.4	-1.31	17.2	15.7	1.47
Jason Smith	10	10	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	4	-10	20.9	16.6	4.34	14.2	16.3	-2.14
Marcus Thornton	10	11	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.02	-6	4	-10	20.9	16.6	4.34	15.1	16.2	-1.16
David Andersen	11	13	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.12	-8	6	-14	18.6	16.8	1.84	14.8	16.3	-1.56
Marco Belinelli	43	45	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.57	7	-9	16	16.7	17.3	-0.61	15.3	16.8	-1.51
Chris Paul	93	91	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.45	1	-3	4	16.9	19.3	-2.40	16.3	12.6	3.71
David West	95	96	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.48	0	-2	2	16.9	29.0	-12.12	16.1	0.0	16.11
Jarrett Jack	58	56	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.38	-14	12	-26	17.2	16.7	0.50	14.6	18.2	-3.57

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Farmar	49	49	1.42	-0.92	2.35	0.81	21	-19	40	14.7	17.6	-2.90	17.4	16.6	0.81
Kris Humphries	61	59	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.34	7	-5	12	15.7	16.8	-1.12	17.2	16.7	0.50
Quinton Ross	15	13	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.37	3	-1	4	12.2	16.8	-4.64	17.8	16.9	0.97
Johan Petro	22	20	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.19	5	-3	8	15.7	16.2	-0.50	17.6	16.9	0.74
Sasha Vujacic	63	61	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	-4	10	16.2	15.9	0.31	18.0	15.3	2.67
Anthony Morrow	68	72	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	-1	4	16.2	15.9	0.36	16.5	18.6	-2.15
Derrick Favors	35	37	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	7	-12	16.8	15.7	1.12	16.7	17.2	-0.50
Brook Lopez	74	75	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.01	-5	7	-12	16.2	15.7	0.50	16.9	17.3	-0.41
Travis Outlaw	38	39	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.04	-13	15	-28	16.8	15.7	1.16	16.0	17.7	-1.70
Devin Harris	47	48	-0.43	0.93	-1.37	-0.02	-14	16	-30	17.6	14.7	2.82	16.5	17.5	-1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.55,0.34,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.57,0.53,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.57,0.09,0.54,0.53,0.63,0.57,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 117, UTA 127	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.64,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.73,0.89,0.79,0.45,0.09,0.54,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.98,1	88.3%
NYK 104, CHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.75,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.85,0.68,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.54,0.55,0.92,1	88.2%
MIA 111, ATL 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.72,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.27,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.58,1	88.2%