NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	77		Excitement	7.4 [361]		MVP	Bostjan Nachbar (NJN): +1.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	81		Comeback	2.0 [754]		LVP	Vince Carter (NJN): -19.7%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bostjan Nachbar	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	9	60%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Clifford Robinson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Richard Jefferson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,-0.01,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	12	67%	0.19	5	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Josh Boone	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	6	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	11	29%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Vince Carter	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.17,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.2	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	23	40%	-0.11	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.05

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.06	0.00	15	45%	0.09	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.03
LeBron James	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.09	0.01	21	44%	0.08	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	4	25%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	11	62%	0.07	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	12	33%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.2,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	0.00	0.00	20	40%	0.03	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	3.5	28.6	18.3	27.4	3.5	33.3	138.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +38.6%

NJN -16.4%

CLE +23.6%

CLE +2.7%

CLE +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CLE	NBA	NJN	CLE	NBA
this game	16.5	16.6	15.4	88.5	93.1	104.5
season	15.4	16.0		103.1	103.2
opponent	15.6	15.7		99.6	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.5	13.1	18.2	18.8	16.5
CLE	13.0	18.2	16.9	19.1	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Boone	26	26	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.13	-1	-3	2	14.4	17.4	-3.00	16.2	16.8	-0.60
Marcus Williams	13	13	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-7	10	13.4	17.1	-3.70	17.5	16.4	1.13
Clifford Robinson	1	1	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-4	4	12.0	16.6	-4.58	0.0	16.8	-16.77
Antoine Wright	4	3	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-1	-2	11.5	16.8	-5.27	8.3	16.9	-8.54
Bostjan Nachbar	36	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-5	6	15.6	17.2	-1.66	17.9	15.6	2.34
Jason Collins	51	52	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.40	2	-6	8	17.0	15.8	1.19	16.1	17.3	-1.19
Vince Carter	82	81	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-5	6	16.7	14.0	2.68	16.5	17.5	-0.99
Jason Kidd	74	74	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.37	-7	3	-10	17.1	13.4	3.70	16.4	17.5	-1.13
Mikki Moore	65	66	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.31	-9	5	-14	17.6	13.5	4.05	16.3	17.3	-0.94
Richard Jefferson	60	60	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.39	-8	4	-12	18.0	13.2	4.79	16.7	16.2	0.56

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	65	65	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.35	11	-7	18	16.0	18.4	-2.39	16.6	16.4	0.16
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	67	66	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.27	13	-9	22	16.6	16.5	0.03	17.0	15.1	1.89
Larry Hughes	82	81	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.32	11	-7	18	16.3	21.0	-4.70	16.9	12.0	4.86
LeBron James	83	83	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.38	6	-2	8	16.5	17.2	-0.71	16.6	15.0	1.60
Drew Gooden	69	69	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.33	7	-3	10	15.7	19.8	-4.11	16.7	15.9	0.81
Anderson Varejao	31	31	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	5	-6	18.0	15.8	2.21	16.5	16.5	-0.02
Donyell Marshall	6	7	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.07	-7	11	-18	17.5	16.5	0.99	12.0	16.9	-4.93
Eric Snow	23	23	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.12	-11	15	-26	18.7	15.8	2.82	16.0	16.7	-0.72
Daniel Gibson	9	10	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.06	-9	13	-22	19.3	16.3	3.08	13.2	17.0	-3.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.67,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 98, SAS 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.38,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.99,1	93.2%
UTA 97, PHI 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.98,0.99,1	92.8%
ORL 94, HOU 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.34,0.48,0.57,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.95,0.99,1,1	92.8%