NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	123		Excitement	6.3 [569]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +35.4%
Phoenix Suns	130		Comeback	2.8 [730]		LVP	Chris Kaman (LAC): -6.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0.35	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.29	0.09	0.03	22	80%	0.41	1	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	-0.01	0.00	11	74%	0.18	2	-0.09	5	80%	0.02
Sam Cassell	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06	0.12	0.04	0.09	19	61%	0.12	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
Quinton Ross	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	5	64%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.09	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Ewing	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.02	0.04	3	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	0.04
Cuttino Mobley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	6	23%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Chris Kaman	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.05	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.15	0.06	0.01	15	69%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.06	0.10	-0.04	12	63%	0.25	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
James Jones	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	5	82%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.17	0.04	0.07	15	79%	0.23	4	-0.09	9	89%	0.05
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.02	-0.01	8	75%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	0.00	16	59%	0.14	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.02	0.03	13	56%	0.06	2	-0.04	10	100%	0.06
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.6	2.8	31.2	20.6	26.3	3.7	39.0	154.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +14.3%

PHX +12.4%

LAC -1.5%

PHX +19.9%

PHX +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	PHX	NBA	LAC	PHX	NBA
this game	15.8	13.2	15.6	124.2	130.0	104.4
season	15.2	13.8		103.9	110.2
opponent	16.1	15.5		105.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	17.8	15.4	15.1	14.9	15.8
PHX	11.7	13.4	13.1	14.5	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Ewing	1	2	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.03	3	-10	13	9.0	15.9	-6.87	10.0	13.2	-3.22
Cuttino Mobley	68	69	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-9	11	16.0	15.3	0.74	12.8	14.0	-1.17
Walter McCarty	0	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-7	7	0.0	15.8	-15.80	0.0	13.3	-13.29
Vladimir Radmanovic	41	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.30	4	-11	15	14.8	16.5	-1.78	12.8	13.4	-0.57
Elton Brand	87	89	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-5	3	15.8	16.0	-0.23	13.1	13.9	-0.84
Corey Maggette	60	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.43	3	-10	13	15.3	16.5	-1.14	13.2	13.1	0.06
Shaun Livingston	68	69	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.41	2	-9	11	15.2	17.1	-1.94	13.5	12.5	0.98
Sam Cassell	66	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.15	-7	0	-7	15.9	15.6	0.29	13.5	12.5	1.00
Quinton Ross	41	40	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.04	-15	8	-23	16.9	15.0	1.84	13.1	13.2	-0.06
Chris Kaman	63	60	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	0.12	-25	18	-43	16.7	14.3	2.35	13.5	12.6	0.98

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Nash	86	85	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.23	14	-7	21	13.2	13.2	-0.06	15.6	17.0	-1.40
Raja Bell	95	93	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.31	10	-3	13	13.2	11.6	1.64	15.7	17.7	-1.99
Shawn Marion	80	80	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.24	12	-5	17	13.4	12.2	1.14	15.6	16.8	-1.23
Leandro Barbosa	70	69	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.36	4	3	1	13.0	13.6	-0.63	15.5	16.5	-1.01
Boris Diaw	93	91	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.31	3	4	-1	13.2	13.3	-0.14	15.9	15.1	0.73
Tim Thomas	28	30	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	8	-9	12.4	13.5	-1.12	17.1	15.2	1.92
Eddie House	7	8	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	12	-17	12.6	13.2	-0.63	17.5	15.6	1.85
James Jones	41	39	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	9	-11	13.5	12.9	0.64	16.0	15.6	0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.7,0.85,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 96, LAL 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.76,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.56,0.46,0.37,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.52,0.54,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.84,1	92.5%
MIL 98, LAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.81,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.96,1	92.1%
MIL 87, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.79,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.1%