NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	98		Excitement	6.1 [608]		MVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): +24.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	105		Comeback	2.6 [568]		LVP	Carlos Delfino (MIL): -19.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bogut	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.04	-0.01	9	61%	0.12	1	-0.01	5	40%	-0.06
Brandon Jennings	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	13	46%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	5	100%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	0.01	0.06	13	61%	0.09	2	-0.06	15	87%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.10	-0.02	0.04	8	94%	0.14	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.06	0.00	11	50%	-0.00	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jon Brockman	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Carlos Delfino	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-0.02	9	22%	-0.08	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.18	0.07	0.01	20	70%	0.26	2	-0.02	6	100%	0.04
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.10	0.00	2	100%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.03	0.02	8	80%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.04	0.01	14	56%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	2	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	0.01	0.05	13	61%	0.07	4	-0.09	7	100%	0.02
Ryan Gomes	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	9	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	4	20%	-0.06	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	28.3	16.6	25.8	2.8	42.2	142.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +5.9%

LAC +24.8%

LAC +5.0%

LAC +14.6%

MIL -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	LAC	NBA	MIL	LAC	NBA
this game	15.7	16.3	15.5	108.9	116.7	105.7
season	16.2	15.4		100.1	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.4		107.2	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	17.2	14.0	16.9	14.7	15.7
LAC	12.3	18.1	20.2	15.9	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luc Mbah a Moute	41	40	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.22	7	-14	21	15.4	15.9	-0.55	15.6	16.9	-1.28
Chris Douglas-Roberts	48	50	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.19	4	-11	15	15.0	16.5	-1.47	14.7	18.3	-3.58
Brandon Jennings	32	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.17	-1	-6	5	15.7	15.7	-0.02	16.0	16.5	-0.52
Andrew Bogut	75	75	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.23	1	-8	9	15.9	14.5	1.44	16.9	13.7	3.12
Jon Brockman	12	12	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	1	-9	15.2	15.7	-0.48	15.6	16.4	-0.87
Corey Maggette	66	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-4	1	15.6	15.8	-0.17	16.5	15.9	0.56
Keyon Dooling	58	58	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-1	-5	15.7	15.7	0.02	16.5	16.0	0.52
Ersan Ilyasova	48	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	2	-11	15.9	15.4	0.45	17.2	15.3	1.87
Carlos Delfino	61	58	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	-2	-3	15.9	15.1	0.83	16.3	16.3	0.03
Garrett Temple	9	7	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	8	-23	16.7	15.6	1.11	20.1	16.0	4.13

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Gomes	57	56	0.90	-0.40	1.29	0.25	22	-15	37	16.5	16.0	0.48	16.1	15.0	1.12
Randy Foye	75	75	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-5	17	16.0	18.1	-2.08	15.9	14.4	1.52
Blake Griffin	75	77	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	-6	19	16.4	16.0	0.40	15.7	15.4	0.33
DeAndre Jordan	60	60	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.29	7	0	7	15.6	17.8	-2.25	15.8	15.4	0.45
Eric Bledsoe	29	28	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	3	1	16.2	16.4	-0.24	16.6	15.2	1.37
Baron Davis	57	57	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.06	6	1	5	16.4	16.2	0.19	15.6	15.7	-0.10
Brian Cook	21	20	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.05	5	2	3	17.2	16.1	1.12	14.0	16.1	-2.08
Ike Diogu	24	23	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.23	-11	18	-29	17.2	16.0	1.25	16.5	15.4	1.15
Rasual Butler	18	19	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.13	-12	19	-31	17.8	16.0	1.87	13.9	16.1	-2.18
Al-Farouq Aminu	34	35	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.06	-11	18	-29	16.0	16.5	-0.49	14.7	16.3	-1.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.81,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 123, PHX 130	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.7,0.85,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	92.1%
DET 75, ATL 89	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.78,0.88,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1	91.9%
NJN 87, CHI 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.36,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.92,0.89,0.99,1,1	91.9%