NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Excitement	3.1 [1187]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (DET): +12.9%
Detroit Pistons	97		Comeback	1.3 [1042]		LVP	Eric Snow (CLE): -8.9%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Drew Gooden	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.13	0.00	0.05	9	81%	0.08	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Damon Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	8	56%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.04	8	53%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
LeBron James	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	0.07	0.01	0.11	23	56%	0.01	3	-0.04	8	75%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	11	36%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	9	50%	-0.00	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	0.00	-0.04	5	17%	-0.05	3	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.18	0.00	0.05	17	67%	0.13	0	0.00	9	44%	-0.04
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.00	-0.05	15	54%	0.12	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	13	50%	0.07	4	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	7	53%	0.00	1	-0.01	18	83%	0.01
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	3.8	38.1	20.8	32.0	3.8	37.3	163.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +32.2%

DET +6.4%

CLE -4.7%

DET +11.2%

DET +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	15.5	16.4	15.6	101.1	106.6	104.4
season	16.2	16.9		105.6	108.3
opponent	15.8	15.5		101.4	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.0	18.0	14.3	12.9	15.5
DET	17.2	14.9	15.1	18.4	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Henderson	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-5	4	0.0	15.5	-15.46	1.0	16.5	-15.53
Damon Jones	36	38	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.48	15	-21	36	13.8	16.6	-2.75	17.6	15.5	2.04
Drew Gooden	51	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.14	-1	-5	4	14.9	16.2	-1.28	17.0	15.5	1.45
Anderson Varejao	31	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	0	-6	15.9	15.2	0.63	14.8	17.3	-2.47
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	51	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	4	-14	15.9	14.9	0.94	17.2	15.4	1.78
Donyell Marshall	47	47	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.47	6	-12	18	15.3	15.6	-0.24	16.4	16.4	-0.00
Ronald Murray	43	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-6	6	16.3	14.7	1.62	15.3	17.4	-2.10
Eric Snow	40	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.20	-18	12	-30	16.2	14.9	1.29	16.1	16.5	-0.38
Larry Hughes	61	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	5	-16	15.4	15.7	-0.29	16.4	16.2	0.21
LeBron James	90	90	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.34	-4	-2	-2	15.5	0.0	15.46	16.4	15.0	1.38

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	80	81	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-7	20	16.3	16.8	-0.52	15.4	16.2	-0.85
Chauncey Billups	82	82	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.26	8	-2	10	16.3	17.1	-0.83	15.3	16.9	-1.56
Tayshaun Prince	82	81	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.32	4	2	2	16.6	14.0	2.62	15.2	18.1	-2.95
Richard Hamilton	74	73	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.29	4	2	2	16.2	16.9	-0.64	15.3	16.2	-0.89
Rasheed Wallace	76	75	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.36	-3	9	-12	17.4	11.3	6.10	14.9	18.1	-3.13
Antonio McDyess	25	24	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.16	2	4	-2	13.7	17.4	-3.64	17.4	14.8	2.62
Tony Delk	18	17	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	4	-2	16.6	16.3	0.24	16.2	15.3	0.89
Maurice Evans	9	9	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	4	-2	14.0	16.6	-2.62	18.1	15.2	2.95
Lindsey Hunter	9	8	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	8	-10	17.1	16.3	0.83	16.9	15.3	1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.84,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.92,0.94,0.97,1,1,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 91, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	96.9%
WAS 108, TOR 127	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
WAS 96, MIL 123	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%