NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	75		Excitement	4.1 [1009]		MVP	Nenad Krstic (NJN): +9.9%
New Jersey Nets	90		Comeback	1.4 [1018]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -13.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	10	57%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Danny Granger	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.04	8	61%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Gill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sarunas Jasikevicius	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Harrison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	0.03	17	49%	-0.02	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Stephen Jackson	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.00	-0.01	14	32%	-0.06	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.13	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.15	-0.01	-0.02	12	40%	-0.02	6	-0.12	6	100%	0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.02	-0.03	13	61%	0.16	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	17	50%	0.04	2	-0.02	8	87%	-0.00
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.11	-0.01	0.10	20	67%	0.11	5	-0.11	9	89%	0.02
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	10	30%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.8	2.6	30.4	17.4	26.1	4.7	30.4	139.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +30.1%

NJN +14.0%

NJN +2.6%

NJN +6.8%

IND -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NJN	NBA	IND	NJN	NBA
this game	17.7	15.7	15.6	87.2	104.7	104.4
season	16.0	15.7		102.3	102.1
opponent	15.7	15.5		100.9	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	18.1	17.9	21.5	13.6	17.7
NJN	13.8	17.2	12.8	19.1	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Gill	1	3	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-16	17	10.0	17.8	-7.84	13.7	15.8	-2.15
David Harrison	6	7	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-12	9	20.8	17.5	3.32	11.4	16.1	-4.70
Sarunas Jasikevicius	9	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-11	7	19.3	17.6	1.77	13.6	16.0	-2.34
Jeff Foster	44	43	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-12	9	19.3	16.1	3.27	13.7	17.8	-4.09
Anthony Johnson	72	71	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.20	0	-15	15	17.7	18.2	-0.56	16.2	13.6	2.60
Scot Pollard	5	5	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.07	-9	-6	-3	14.8	17.9	-3.13	15.6	15.8	-0.15
Stephen Jackson	53	56	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.24	0	-15	15	17.9	17.5	0.32	16.2	14.9	1.35
Jermaine O'Neal	57	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.07	-6	-9	3	18.1	17.1	1.02	16.4	14.5	1.85
Austin Croshere	46	44	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	-8	1	15.3	20.5	-5.25	17.6	13.8	3.78
Jamaal Tinsley	13	13	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.17	-16	1	-17	18.8	17.5	1.30	13.5	16.2	-2.69
Danny Granger	55	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.03	-12	-3	-9	18.8	15.9	2.88	14.1	18.8	-4.74
Fred Jones	69	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.00	-16	1	-17	16.9	21.2	-4.35	17.1	11.1	6.02

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nenad Krstic	65	65	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.06	18	-3	21	15.1	17.6	-2.48	18.2	16.2	2.06
Vince Carter	73	72	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.09	22	-7	29	15.4	17.8	-2.48	18.2	15.3	2.94
Richard Jefferson	76	76	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.00	11	4	7	15.6	16.9	-1.31	17.9	16.2	1.75
Jason Collins	42	44	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	2	11	14.3	17.1	-2.76	19.5	15.9	3.69
Jason Kidd	67	69	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	7	1	15.1	17.9	-2.83	18.2	16.0	2.17
Jacque Vaughn	41	41	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.13	5	10	-5	17.2	14.4	2.77	15.9	19.4	-3.52
Lamond Murray	16	17	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.05	6	9	-3	18.8	15.0	3.77	18.1	17.7	0.39
Clifford Robinson	42	42	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	19	-23	17.7	13.9	3.76	15.6	19.8	-4.20
Zoran Planinic	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	16	-17	14.5	15.8	-1.27	10.0	17.8	-7.84
Antoine Wright	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	16	-17	14.5	15.8	-1.27	10.0	17.8	-7.84
Scott Padgett	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	16	-17	14.5	15.8	-1.27	10.0	17.8	-7.84
Bostjan Nachbar	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	16	-17	14.5	15.8	-1.27	10.0	17.8	-7.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 88, SAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
ATL 98, IND 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
DEN 77, VAN 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.98,1,1	96.0%