NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	92		Excitement	6.4 [579]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +24.1%
Detroit Pistons	83		Comeback	4.8 [122]		LVP	Ben Wallace (DET): -24.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.04	0.13	-0.01	17	56%	0.23	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.00	11	54%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
James Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	12	50%	0.06	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Fred Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	25	42%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.14	-0.06	-0.02	19	29%	-0.17	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.14	0.12	0.02	15	71%	0.24	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.04	12	58%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	9	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	11	48%	-0.06	2	-0.08	5	80%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.19	-0.11	-0.08	17	39%	-0.02	7	-0.20	2	100%	0.02
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.16	-0.10	-0.01	4	21%	-0.12	3	-0.12	6	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	3.5	30.5	20.3	29.5	3.4	30.4	145.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +11.9%

IND +0.9%

IND +15.9%

IND +21.5%

DET -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	16.4	15.6	15.5	102.2	92.2	104.0
season	16.8	16.7		101.9	103.5
opponent	15.9	15.5		98.9	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.3	15.6	15.3	17.6	16.4
DET	15.4	16.4	14.7	16.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Tinsley	74	74	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.15	22	-13	35	15.9	18.7	-2.84	16.1	13.3	2.77
Jermaine O'Neal	78	79	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.21	17	-8	25	15.6	21.5	-5.87	16.2	11.5	4.71
Reggie Miller	61	61	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.37	8	1	7	16.5	16.3	0.15	14.7	17.6	-2.90
Jeff Foster	60	57	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.13	12	-3	15	15.8	17.6	-1.78	14.9	16.8	-1.89
Stephen Jackson	76	76	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	6	-3	16.8	14.4	2.35	14.9	19.1	-4.12
Dale Davis	32	34	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.10	-3	12	-15	17.9	15.6	2.37	17.7	14.3	3.40
James Jones	16	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	7	-5	15.2	16.7	-1.49	17.5	15.2	2.32
Fred Jones	28	28	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.15	3	6	-3	16.4	16.4	-0.08	17.5	14.7	2.77
Austin Croshere	9	8	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.03	-6	15	-21	20.7	15.9	4.73	8.4	16.3	-7.92
Anthony Johnson	16	16	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	0.09	-13	22	-35	18.7	15.9	2.84	13.3	16.1	-2.77

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Dupree	8	8	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-11	13	17.6	15.4	2.23	17.2	16.3	0.92
Antonio McDyess	38	37	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.10	-6	-3	-3	17.7	14.1	3.63	16.1	16.6	-0.47
Lindsey Hunter	34	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	-3	-3	15.0	16.0	-0.99	15.7	16.8	-1.09
Tayshaun Prince	85	85	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.25	-6	-3	-3	15.3	21.0	-5.73	16.5	15.4	1.07
Rasheed Wallace	64	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.29	-5	-4	-1	14.9	17.3	-2.47	16.5	16.3	0.20
Ben Wallace	78	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.28	-7	-2	-5	15.2	18.4	-3.26	16.5	15.8	0.68
Richard Hamilton	72	74	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.24	-9	0	-9	16.3	12.6	3.79	16.6	15.5	1.11
Chauncey Billups	71	69	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.28	-8	-1	-7	15.3	16.8	-1.52	16.4	16.6	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.65,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.45,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.14,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 78, IND 71	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.57,0.58,0.41,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.16,0.09,0.03,0	93.4%
MIL 99, ATL 89	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.81,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.76,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.71,0.53,0.42,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.02,0	91.6%
BOS 110, ATL 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.59,0.45,0.22,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0	91.6%