NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	110		Excitement	6.9 [487]		MVP	Jaylen Brown (BOS): +36.1%
Atlanta Hawks	99		Comeback	3.6 [662]		LVP	Marco Belinelli (ATL): -17.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaylen Brown	0.36	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.21	0.15	0.00	13	82%	0.39	1	-0.03	7	43%	-0.02
Kyrie Irving	0.26	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.26	0.23	0.11	0.08	12	103%	0.35	4	-0.09	5	100%	0.03
Jayson Tatum	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.02	0.11	-0.03	11	56%	0.20	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.03
Marcus Morris	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.01	9	67%	0.10	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Terry Rozier	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.02	0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	8	56%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Theis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	11	32%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	5	0%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.16	0.12	0.02	8	90%	0.30	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.03	0.03	8	87%	0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.02	-0.01	18	59%	0.09	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	-0.02	0.03	8	79%	0.10	3	-0.06	8	87%	-0.01
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Luke Babbitt	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	12	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	5	55%	0.05	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.02
Malcolm Delaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Cavanaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.07	-0.02	10	20%	-0.12	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.0	25.5	14.8	26.6	2.6	31.3	130.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +24.8%

BOS +11.2%

BOS +12.1%

BOS +0.8%

BOS +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	ATL	NBA	BOS	ATL	NBA
this game	16.2	14.6	14.7	118.3	105.3	107.5
season	15.1	14.6		106.4	104.2
opponent	14.4	14.7		109.8	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.2	15.7	15.2	17.9	16.2
ATL	13.8	15.6	14.8	14.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Morris	47	46	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.31	18	-7	25	16.7	15.7	1.01	15.7	13.5	2.22
Jaylen Brown	66	70	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.31	8	3	5	16.5	15.4	1.12	14.4	15.2	-0.75
Kyrie Irving	59	61	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.35	6	5	1	16.8	15.2	1.57	14.5	14.8	-0.23
Al Horford	61	63	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.36	2	9	-7	16.4	15.9	0.50	14.6	14.7	-0.15
Terry Rozier	48	47	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.02	11	0	11	15.7	16.7	-1.02	15.1	14.1	0.91
Aron Baynes	29	26	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.16	9	2	7	15.1	16.7	-1.55	15.5	14.3	1.18
Marcus Smart	53	54	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.16	7	4	3	16.2	16.2	-0.04	13.7	15.8	-2.12
Jayson Tatum	57	59	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.12	-4	15	-19	15.8	16.8	-0.98	14.1	15.5	-1.45
Shane Larkin	34	33	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.22	7	4	3	15.7	16.5	-0.79	14.8	14.5	0.33
Daniel Theis	5	5	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.01	-4	15	-19	19.0	16.0	2.95	14.6	14.6	-0.01
Semi Ojeleye	6	6	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	-0.05	-5	16	-21	14.7	16.3	-1.64	14.5	14.6	-0.11

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Cavanaugh	29	29	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.22	-5	-6	1	14.8	14.5	0.22	15.1	16.7	-1.60
DeAndre' Bembry	4	3	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.03	-2	-9	7	12.7	14.7	-1.94	13.0	16.3	-3.31
John Collins	51	50	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.12	-6	-5	-1	14.8	14.4	0.43	15.4	17.2	-1.78
Marco Belinelli	50	53	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	-5	-1	14.2	15.1	-0.87	16.3	16.1	0.18
Malcolm Delaney	51	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.20	-15	4	-19	15.0	14.1	0.86	15.3	17.2	-1.88
Dennis Schroder	69	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-10	9	14.4	15.1	-0.65	17.2	13.2	3.98
Luke Babbitt	47	49	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.40	1	-12	13	14.6	14.6	0.06	16.6	15.8	0.73
Dewayne Dedmon	41	42	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.36	-1	-10	9	14.7	14.5	0.14	17.1	15.5	1.67
Taurean Prince	66	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.29	-6	-5	-1	15.0	13.8	1.17	15.7	17.4	-1.76
Kent Bazemore	62	59	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.14	-14	3	-17	14.2	15.3	-1.07	16.7	15.3	1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.59,0.45,0.22,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 98, CLE 92	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.34,0.48,0.57,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.28,0.1,0.11,0.01,0,0	91.7%
IND 92, DET 83	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.72,0.65,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.45,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.14,0.01,0,0,0	91.6%
SEA 84, CHH 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.33,0.19,0.16,0.01,0.04,0	90.8%