NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	87		Excitement	4.9 [828]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (DET): +9.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	75		Comeback	1.4 [447]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): -21.6%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.11	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
Chauncey Billups	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	14	69%	0.13	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Tayshaun Prince	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	10	55%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	70%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	8	50%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Mehmet Okur	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Elden Campbell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.01	-0.00	5	37%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.06
Richard Hamilton	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.03	-0.03	16	33%	-0.07	6	-0.14	4	50%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	16	77%	0.22	6	-0.14	12	67%	-0.02
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rick Fox	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	9	22%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.03	-0.04	9	11%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.05	0.01	27	43%	-0.06	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.3	2.8	36.0	18.8	24.1	3.7	35.0	150.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +27.2%

DET +2.4%

DET +5.9%

DET +12.4%

DET +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	LAL	NBA	DET	LAL	NBA
this game	16.2	17.6	15.7	103.6	87.2	100.5
season	16.2	15.4		99.2	102.8
opponent	15.6	16.0		99.0	92.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	13.7	17.1	17.9	16.9	16.2
LAL	17.0	18.0	17.3	18.2	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	65	63	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.07	18	-6	24	16.2	16.4	-0.17	17.9	17.0	0.86
Ben Wallace	75	76	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.06	18	-6	24	15.9	19.2	-3.34	17.3	19.9	-2.57
Richard Hamilton	76	79	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	1	10	15.7	21.0	-5.26	17.5	19.1	-1.65
Rasheed Wallace	47	49	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.04	13	-1	14	17.1	15.2	1.87	17.8	17.4	0.39
Chauncey Billups	67	67	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.03	11	1	10	16.8	14.0	2.81	18.2	15.6	2.56
Lindsey Hunter	25	26	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.14	2	10	-8	16.2	16.2	0.00	16.6	18.1	-1.51
Elden Campbell	34	32	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	15	-18	15.0	17.1	-2.08	18.4	17.1	1.29
Darvin Ham	5	7	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	14	-16	15.2	16.3	-1.10	17.4	17.6	-0.22
Mehmet Okur	8	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	15	-18	19.4	15.9	3.47	15.6	17.9	-2.29
Corliss Williamson	18	21	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	17	-22	16.9	16.0	0.90	17.4	17.7	-0.26

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Fox	7	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-12	12	17.7	17.6	0.09	16.0	16.3	-0.26
Slava Medvedenko	13	10	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	-7	2	13.8	18.3	-4.55	14.9	16.4	-1.52
Derek Fisher	40	37	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-12	12	16.7	18.4	-1.64	16.0	16.4	-0.43
Kareem Rush	30	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.13	-3	-9	6	16.2	18.4	-2.14	15.9	16.4	-0.52
Devean George	48	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	-5	-2	18.2	16.8	1.41	16.5	15.8	0.71
Gary Payton	51	52	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	3	-18	18.3	16.6	1.69	16.2	16.3	-0.12
Shaquille O'Neal	79	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	-4	-4	17.8	15.3	2.55	15.9	20.5	-4.59
Karl Malone	78	78	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.15	-10	-2	-8	18.1	13.4	4.69	16.7	10.2	6.54
Kobe Bryant	84	82	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.15	-12	0	-12	17.8	12.0	5.76	16.4	11.0	5.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.26,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 97, IND 75	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.26,0.2,0.24,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
BOS 98, ORL 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.22,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.6%
UTA 102, LAC 91	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.3,0.21,0.12,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.4%