NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	102		Excitement	5.0 [820]		MVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): +26.5%
Los Angeles Clippers	91		Comeback	1.4 [436]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): -18.6%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Favors	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.04	0.03	15	69%	0.13	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.02
Gordon Hayward	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.03	0.04	22	63%	0.20	4	-0.09	8	75%	0.01
Raul Neto	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.00	6	71%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Trey Lyles	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	80%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Rudy Gobert	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	4	83%	0.11	4	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Rodney Hood	0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	72%	0.04	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	13	29%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.25	0.04	0.03	23	78%	0.27	3	-0.01	5	80%	0.02
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	0.01	0.08	15	75%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	7	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	7	44%	-0.01	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	6	25%	-0.06	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.15	-0.04	-0.00	9	15%	-0.13	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	33.3	15.6	25.1	2.8	31.2	133.8
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +30.6%

UTA +5.5%

UTA +2.9%

UTA +10.8%

UTA +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAC	NBA	UTA	LAC	NBA
this game	16.8	14.9	14.9	112.1	100.0	105.1
season	16.3	14.8		104.6	106.6
opponent	14.9	15.0		102.1	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.1	15.3	16.4	17.4	16.8
LAC	14.6	12.9	19.6	13.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	77	77	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.09	22	-11	33	16.5	18.4	-1.89	15.1	13.8	1.31
Derrick Favors	57	58	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.04	18	-7	25	17.6	15.3	2.29	16.2	12.6	3.58
Rudy Gobert	73	74	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.11	8	3	5	16.4	18.1	-1.62	15.2	13.4	1.89
Rodney Hood	57	57	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.15	6	5	1	16.6	17.1	-0.48	15.5	13.8	1.75
Raul Neto	45	45	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.03	9	2	7	17.2	16.4	0.79	17.8	12.1	5.67
Trevor Booker	36	34	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	9	-7	17.8	16.1	1.69	12.9	16.1	-3.16
Joe Ingles	14	14	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	6	-1	16.6	16.8	-0.22	12.1	15.4	-3.33
Alec Burks	58	57	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	12	-13	16.2	17.8	-1.57	13.4	17.3	-3.88
Trey Burke	16	15	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	12	-13	19.1	16.3	2.87	12.0	15.5	-3.46
Trey Lyles	5	7	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	12	-13	13.6	16.9	-3.34	9.9	15.3	-5.45
Jeff Withey	3	2	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	17	-23	16.0	16.8	-0.78	13.5	14.9	-1.42
Chris Johnson	14	15	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.00	-6	17	-23	14.5	17.2	-2.67	14.1	15.1	-0.99

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luc Mbah a Moute	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.08	3	-14	17	5.5	15.1	-9.60	17.0	16.8	0.25
Blake Griffin	71	71	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-8	5	15.5	12.6	2.87	16.9	16.2	0.72
Austin Rivers	49	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.13	-1	-10	9	14.7	15.1	-0.38	17.1	16.3	0.82
Wesley Johnson	38	38	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.16	-2	-9	7	14.4	15.2	-0.81	16.5	16.9	-0.40
Chris Paul	64	66	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-5	-1	15.8	12.7	3.16	16.4	17.8	-1.38
Paul Pierce	18	19	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-3	-5	13.8	15.2	-1.32	16.5	16.8	-0.36
DeAndre Jordan	60	59	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	0.06	-11	0	-11	16.0	12.7	3.31	16.3	17.6	-1.24
Jamal Crawford	56	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.21	-2	-9	7	14.4	15.6	-1.20	17.1	16.1	0.98
JJ Redick	40	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.13	-14	3	-17	15.9	14.1	1.76	16.7	16.8	-0.03
Josh Smith	32	32	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-8	5	12.6	16.1	-3.54	18.1	16.1	2.01
Lance Stephenson	25	24	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-3	-5	13.0	15.6	-2.66	15.6	17.2	-1.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.27,0.23,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.3,0.21,0.12,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 87, LAL 75	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.26,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.03,0,0,0	94.4%
CLE 95, GSW 67	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.41,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.2,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.2%
DAL 109, NOK 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.33,0.21,0.17,0.28,0.2,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0	93.9%