NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	83		Excitement	3.0 [1171]		MVP	Austin Croshere (IND): +12.8%
Detroit Pistons	68		Comeback	1.1 [492]		LVP	Ben Wallace (DET): -10.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Croshere	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.02	-0.03	8	78%	0.13	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Reggie Miller	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.14	0.00	0.06	7	107%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.00	-0.04	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Al Harrington	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.05	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Metta World Peace	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.07	19	48%	0.06	2	-0.03	4	50%	0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	11	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.09	24	44%	0.08	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	58%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	37%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	5	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	14	57%	-0.01	5	-0.07	9	89%	0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.16	-0.01	-0.09	17	28%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.14	-0.00	-0.03	5	7%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	4.0	33.2	18.7	28.3	4.4	35.4	149.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +39.5%

IND +6.2%

IND +0.3%

IND +2.4%

IND +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	17.2	17.5	15.7	100.0	81.9	100.5
season	16.7	16.2		101.1	99.2
opponent	16.0	15.7		92.6	94.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.2	16.9	16.9	24.3	17.2
DET	18.6	15.1	21.0	15.7	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	65	64	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.14	22	-7	29	17.9	14.4	3.46	18.0	16.2	1.80
Metta World Peace	68	67	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	5	5	17.5	15.7	1.82	17.6	17.1	0.52
Austin Croshere	51	54	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.10	16	-1	17	17.6	16.4	1.22	17.4	17.8	-0.33
Reggie Miller	52	51	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.03	13	2	11	17.8	16.1	1.64	17.5	17.7	-0.19
Jamaal Tinsley	33	34	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.14	14	1	13	15.9	18.0	-2.02	19.6	16.1	3.57
Anthony Johnson	46	45	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.03	7	8	-1	17.2	17.1	0.14	16.0	19.4	-3.47
Al Harrington	43	41	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.29	-3	18	-21	16.7	17.7	-1.00	17.0	18.1	-1.12
Fred Jones	31	32	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.10	2	13	-11	16.1	17.8	-1.64	17.7	17.5	0.19
Jonathan Bender	15	16	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.07	5	10	-5	15.7	17.5	-1.82	17.1	17.6	-0.52
Kenny Anderson	4	4	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.17	-6	21	-27	26.5	16.7	9.82	17.5	17.5	-0.04
Jeff Foster	7	7	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.07	-5	20	-25	9.7	17.8	-8.13	18.0	17.5	0.50

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darvin Ham	8	8	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.08	-2	-13	11	14.7	17.8	-3.09	17.4	17.1	0.24
Elden Campbell	8	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-15	15	17.7	17.5	0.23	13.0	17.5	-4.48
Lindsey Hunter	14	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-12	9	14.6	18.1	-3.49	18.4	16.9	1.52
Mehmet Okur	9	9	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.08	-7	-8	1	16.4	17.7	-1.23	11.0	17.9	-6.91
Mike James	20	20	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.00	-5	-10	5	18.3	17.3	1.00	13.2	18.4	-5.21
Corliss Williamson	26	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.00	-6	-9	3	16.8	17.9	-1.13	18.1	16.7	1.43
Ben Wallace	67	68	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	-9	3	18.2	14.9	3.30	18.3	12.1	6.13
Chauncey Billups	68	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-8	1	17.5	17.6	-0.07	18.2	12.9	5.23
Tayshaun Prince	55	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	-8	1	17.8	17.0	0.87	16.6	18.1	-1.43
Richard Hamilton	70	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.06	-14	-1	-13	17.9	15.5	2.38	17.2	16.9	0.28
Rasheed Wallace	70	71	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.01	-18	3	-21	17.4	18.2	-0.73	17.1	17.7	-0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.32,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 104, DET 87	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
LAC 111, ATL 91	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.21,0.24,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
SAC 101, LAC 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%