inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 74 Excitement2.6 [1206] MVPTim Duncan (SAS): +7.4%
San Antonio Spurs 98 Comeback1.1 [1130] LVPMike Miller (MEM): -8.6%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.000.00-0.03460%0.031-0.002100%0.01
Shane Battier0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.03-0.00-0.04437%0.021-0.0000%0.00
James Posey0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.02962%0.021-0.016100%0.00
Jake Tsakalidis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.050100%0.0030.002100%0.00
Ryan Humphrey0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Stromile Swift-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.070.00-0.05621%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Earl Watson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02250%-0.012-0.0100%0.00
Jason Williams-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.031145%-0.014-0.0400%0.00
Bo Outlaw-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.070.00-0.0220%-0.032-0.0200%0.00
Bonzi Wells-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.000.001157%0.004-0.06667%-0.01
Pau Gasol-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.000.041147%-0.0700.008100%0.01
Mike Miller-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.13-0.01-0.0558%-0.082-0.01250%-0.00

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.100.010.041865%0.091-0.02450%-0.02
Robert Horry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.01683%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.01450%0.0300.0000%0.00
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.060.00-0.071050%0.064-0.0600%0.00
Manu Ginobili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.011060%0.032-0.025100%0.00
Charlie Ward0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.080.000.082150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kevin Willis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.10-0.00-0.101050%0.065-0.06475%0.00
Malik Rose0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.01367%0.002-0.0000%0.00
Jason Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02425%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.01856%0.013-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.33.631.116.826.82.833.0142.4
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +52.5%
MEM -1.9%
SAS +4.4%
MEM -5.5%
SAS +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMSASNBAMEMSASNBA
this game15.616.315.781.3108.9100.5
season15.315.9102.3100.1
opponent15.815.792.7100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM15.617.117.612.515.6
SAS13.817.118.416.316.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jake Tsakalidis550.00-0.500.500.09-3-211814.815.6-0.8016.216.3-0.07
Ryan Humphrey550.00-0.500.500.09-3-211814.815.6-0.8016.216.3-0.07
Bo Outlaw3230-0.07-0.430.36-0.01-2-222014.216.3-2.1214.817.0-2.20
Earl Watson3230-0.07-0.430.36-0.01-2-222014.216.3-2.1214.817.0-2.20
James Posey5049-0.21-0.290.080.08-10-14415.216.0-0.8018.014.23.80
Mike Miller4141-0.22-0.280.060.10-11-13216.414.91.5516.715.90.81
Lorenzen Wright4342-0.22-0.280.060.10-11-13216.314.91.3616.815.80.97
Stromile Swift4343-0.28-0.22-0.060.01-10-14414.916.1-1.1915.816.7-0.96
Bonzi Wells5049-0.28-0.22-0.060.10-13-11-214.916.4-1.5515.916.7-0.81
Shane Battier4141-0.29-0.21-0.080.12-14-10-416.015.20.8014.218.0-3.80
Pau Gasol5455-0.43-0.07-0.360.13-19-5-1416.414.32.1717.115.02.07
Jason Williams5960-0.43-0.07-0.360.22-22-2-2016.314.22.1217.014.82.20

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Duncan65670.480.020.45-0.202312216.914.52.4216.313.52.86
Tony Parker57580.440.060.37-0.061771015.916.9-1.0616.613.82.83
Bruce Bowen56570.420.080.33-0.05168816.715.51.2317.612.15.45
Robert Horry30310.330.170.17-0.14168815.516.7-1.2016.415.11.25
Hedo Turkoglu64650.300.200.10-0.231861215.418.4-2.9815.017.1-2.12
Manu Ginobili50510.240.26-0.02-0.02915-616.516.00.4414.516.8-2.30
Rasho Nesterovic52510.180.32-0.150.09321-1816.216.4-0.2715.615.50.02
Jason Hart33330.060.44-0.37-0.14717-1016.915.91.0613.816.6-2.83
Malik Rose30300.050.45-0.40-0.06420-1616.016.4-0.3512.617.0-4.42
Charlie Ward870.000.50-0.50-0.12420-1617.916.11.7714.315.7-1.38
Kevin Willis550.000.50-0.50-0.09321-1816.216.3-0.0714.815.6-0.80


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.53,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 88, SEA 1080.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
GSW 85, ORL 1110.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
CHI 82, DET 1100.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%